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|Green Bay Packers||-7.5
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Chances are, the winless Atlanta Falcons will not find their first 2020 victory at Lambeau Field on Monday night, and with a banged-up Julio Jones, the Falcons will struggle to cover even this generous spread, so take Rodgers and his Packers minus the points.
Packers -7.5 -110
|Falcons vs Packers Information|
|What||Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers|
|Where||Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI|
|When||Monday, October 5, 2020; 8:15 PM ET|
|How to watch||Watch on ESPN+ here!|
Murphy’s Law says if something can go wrong, it will, which seems to describe the 2020 Atlanta Falcons aptly, with this 0-3 team’s ability to snatch a loss out of the jaws of victory impressive for all the wrong reasons.
Then there are the Green Bay Packers, who seem solid enough on both sides of the ball to beat any team they face, certainly this shaky Falcons team that can’t seem to stay out of their own way in the fourth quarter.
These two NFC teams have played each other a total of 34 times (including 4 postseason games), with the Packers winning 18 of those games and the Falcons winning 16 of them.
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Last week, the Falcons had two sacks on the opposing quarterbacks, with DT Grady Jarrett and DE Charles Harris each getting one, and that type of threat will be key to keeping Packers QB Aaron Rodgers at bay, at least somewhat.
The Falcons average just two sacks per game in 2020, and if they expect to slow Rodgers and his passing offense down, then they had a better record than many and more on Monday night.
Of course, that’s easier said than done – Rodgers’ front line has only allowed him to be sacked twice in three games, so getting to him (and getting him tackled) could be a major ask for this Atlanta line.
Take a look at Packers QB Aaron Rodgers numbers for the 2020 season and he looks ready to set some career records in multiple categories if he can stay healthy along the way (never a given at his ‘advanced’ age).
Last week, for example, Rodgers had a passer rating of 124.0 after throwing for 3 touchdowns on 21 completions for 283 yards with no interceptions, and that was against a defense like New Orleans puts on the field, which, though not tops, is certainly more effective than Atlanta’s D right now (ranked 2nd last in yards allowed with 463.3).
Rodgers just has to have a decent game to take care of these Falcons but expect the future Hall of Famer to do even better than that.
Bad news for the already reeling Falcons – their star wide receiver Julio Jones is currently listed as questionable for this MNF matchup, his hamstring issue causing him to be a game-time decision on Monday.
Assuming that he does play with the healing hamstring, with it slowing him down, Jones will not be able to stretch the field like he (and QB Matt Ryan) are used to and that will affect how OC Dirk Koetter game plans their offensive attack.
It will be key for Jones to have a big night, even the threat of him being on the field is enough to give the Falcons other receivers – Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage and TE Hayden Hurst – plenty of extra space to break open.
WR Allen Lazard is in his third NFL season, all of it with the Packers, and he is showing signs that he can be a reliable number two receiver behind QB Rodgers’ favorite target, Davante Adams.
Last week, Lazard had a productive outing in the team’s win over the New Orleans Saints, posting 6 catches for 146 yards and a touchdown, averaging over 24 yards per reception.
The key to Lazard’s success will be to take advantage of all the double teams that Adams attracts, and find the open spots on the field that it creates, because QB Rodgers will find him if he is open, and it looks like Lazard can catch the balls fired his way.
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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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