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Best Lions vs. Saints Prop Bets NFL Week 13

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 3, 2023
4 min read

The Saints and Lions are coming off losses in Week 12 but will look to rebound here in Louisiana. 

Below, we have the three best prop bets for this matchup.

Lions vs Saints Prop Bets

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions

Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 7.5 Receptions (-150) at DraftKings

Amon-Ra St. Brown is undoubtedly the top option for the Lions offense, but at 7.5 receptions, we’ll lean under here. 

The Saints allow an average of 11.27 receptions per game to receivers. Their number has been single digits over the past three games. 

So, at 7.5, St. Brown would take up most, if not all, of the available receptions the Saints allow on average. 

Looking at this Lions offense, it’s certainly possible, though, as he’s had eight or more in three straight games. This season, though, he’s finished with seven or fewer in four games. 

The Saints offense is without Michael Thomas and potentially Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, making this game in which the Lions could lead and turn it over to David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs to carry them to victory. 

St. Brown could certainly top this mark—he’s done it more often than not this season—but looking at the Saints averages per game and the possibility of a more run-heavy approach, we’ll lean under slightly with this one. 

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Pick: Jared Goff Over 256.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

We discussed how this game could become run-heavy, but there’s also a world where Goff can rack up the passing yards. 

The Saints allow about 205 passing yards per game, but when you look at their recent opponents, they include Desmond Ridder, Joshua Dobbs, Justin Fields, Gardner Minshew, and Trevor Lawrence over their past five games. None of these quarterbacks, except for Lawrence, can consistently pass at a higher level than Goff.

Goff has numerous weapons in addition to St. Brown, like Sam LaPorta, Gibbs out of the backfield, and other complimentary receivers in Josh Reynolds. 

Goff has had 257 passing yards or more in five of his last six games, and he’s in a good spot to continue here in a dome. 

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Pick: Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-113) at Caesars 

We like Goff’s passing yards, and we’ll also double down on him and take the over at 1.5 passing touchdowns. The Saints allow 1.27 passing touchdowns per game and have allowed four multi-touchdown games this season. Again, though, if you look at the crop of quarterbacks, none are exactly threatening. 

Here are the quarterbacks they’ve played this season:

  • Ryan Tannehill

  • Bryce Young

  • Jordan Love 

  • Baker Mayfield

  • Mac Jones

  • C.J. Stroud

  • Trevor Lawrence 

  • Gardner Minshew

  • Justin Fields

  • Joshua Dobbs

  • Desmond Ridder

Many of these quarterbacks would be lucky to throw multiple touchdowns in any game. 

Goff has the weapons to get it done, and as four-point favorites, this game is poised to be close enough for passing to be on the menu all night. 

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Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst & Content Specialist

Expertise:
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NFL
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
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Experience:
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