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TNF Same Game Parlay NFL Week 4: Lions vs Packers

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published September 27, 2023
8 min read
Parlay NFL TNF Week 4
  • Sam LaPorta Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-144)
  • Jordan Love Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-114)
  • Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdowns (+110)
  • Lions Team Total Over 23.5 (-104)

Combined Odds +800 via DraftKings Sportsbook

Week four in the NFL gets fired up with an NFC North division matchup between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers. In week three, the Lions picked up their second victory of the season, beating the Falcons 20-6. Meanwhile, the Packers also got their second win by beating the Saints 18-17. 

This young Detroit team has shown that they can be a potential threat in the NFC. Through the first two weeks, the Lions’ defense has a few question marks around it, giving up a total of 57 points through two games. 

David Montgomery has an injury that could hold him out for a second straight game and give Jahmyr Gibbs another full workload on Thursday night. 

The beginning of the Jordan Love era in Green Bay hasn’t gone smoothly. Through three games, Love has a quarterback rating of 94.7. 

The injuries for the Packers are starting to add up with Aaron Jones, Christian Watson, and Jaire Alexander all being questionable going into Thursday night's game. Green Bay will likely need all of their stars to align to knock off what are the division front runners. 

While injuries on both teams leave the availability of some players up in the air for this game, we have a same-game parlay that could potentially start your week four out with a bang. 

Sam LaPorta Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-144)

Sam LaPorta has emerged as Jared Goff’s favorite weapon on offense and has gotten more looks week after week. The Lions have become a pass-heavy team in the last two seasons and the amount of talent at the receiver position opens up the middle of the field fairly often for LaPorta. 

With injuries at the linebacker position and in the secondary for Green Bay, it’s only going to make it easier for Goff to get the ball to the rookie tight end. So far on the season Goff has 72 completions for 819 yards and five touchdowns. 

LaPorta has 18 receptions for 186 yards and a score through the first three weeks. He is averaging six catches and 62 yards per game. While Green Bay’s defense has improved, we don’t think they’ve got the talent to stop this 6’3” 245 lb tight end on Thursday night. 

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Jordan Love Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-114) 

It’s safe to say it hasn’t been very pretty for Love in his first three games, but on paper, he has the stats to back this up. Through his first three games as the starter for the Packers, he’s accumulated a 218 pass yards per game average. 

This Lions' defense has given up some impressive games to opposing quarterbacks. Currently, the Detroit defense allows the 7th most passing yards with 268.5 per game. 

Love has an issue with taking deep shots down the field. He is more successful in his check-downs and the short passing game. He misses a lot on deeper throws, and if he can find a way to make safer shorter passes they will add up throughout the night. 

With Aaron Jones and Christian Watson expected to be on the field Thursday, it will be the first time this year that Love will have his entire offense healthy. Love will continue to grow and adapt to this extremely young offense. 

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Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown (+110)

While Aaron Jones did sit out in their last two games, many believe he was held out for precautionary reasons on Sunday to ensure he’d be ready for the Thursday night matchup against the Lions. If this is the case, expect Love to use Jones as he did in week one to bail him out when he faces pressure. 

The Packers seem to want Love to rely more on screenplays and their running backs while his confidence builds.

In week one before his injury, Jones had nine attempts for 41 yards and a touchdown. Jones also added two catches on four targets for 86 yards and a receiving touchdown. 

This offense is always better with Jones healthy, as A.J. Dillon hasn’t seemed to be able to fill the number one running back role in Jones’ absence. We expect Jones to be well-rested and back to 100% after a short week at Lambeau Field.  

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Lions Team Total Over 23.5 (-104)

Detroit has scored at least 20 points in every game this season. Now they face a potentially depleted Packers Defense that struggles against the run already and might still need Jaire Alexander. 

If there’s one thing we know about the Lions, it’s that they can score fast and often. While this game is tough to say who will win, the team over seems like the safest play. 

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Josh Reynolds, LaPorta, and the rest of this high-powered offense should have no problem getting open and have plenty of opportunities to make big plays. 

For the Lions to win this game and hit this over, they should never take their foot off the gas pedal. We aren’t going to tell you that this Packers team is dangerous, but Green Bay showed us last week that they can score when it matters. We could be in for a high-scoring thriller between two teams with bad defenses. 

Head to DraftKings Sportsbook and start building your SGP!

More NFL Week 4 Predictions

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AUTHOR

Tanner Kern

406 Articles

Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.

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