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After a wild week four in the NFL, we move on to week five with a Thursday night game between the Chicago Bears and the Washington Commanders. Last week, the Bears extended their losing streak to 14 games. Chicago has not won a contest in 347 days coming into this matchup.
The Bears are now up against one of the season's biggest surprises in the Commanders. Washington’s start to the season has been a head-scratcher as they began 2-0 by beating the Cardinals and the Broncos.
Following the hot start, they got blown out by the Bills and had an overtime loss to the Eagles, but showed an impressive fight.
While most people would say this game is not one to watch, we disagree. We believe there is value in our Same Game Parlay. Let’s break it down!
At the tail end of the 2022 season, the commanders were officially eliminated from playoff contention. With that news came a decision to see what young rookie Sam Howell had in him as they planned for the future.
In Howell’s only start last season, he had 11 completions for 170 yards, one touchdown pass, and one interception. It wasn’t the most impressive debut, but he was named the starter for the following season.
Howell has produced fairly big numbers in his first 4 starts in 2023. He has 94 completions on 140 attempts for 961 yards and four touchdowns. Howell has a fairly dynamic receiver core with Terry McClaurin, Curtis Samuel, and Johan Dotson.
The former University of North Carolina quarterback averages 240.25 yards per game this season. Chicago is giving up 270 pass yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. Howell should be able to do what all other quarterbacks are against the Bears, and easily throw for this total.
It’s safe to say that before Chicago’s week 4 matchup against the Broncos, nobody thought this offense would ever start doing well in any aspect of the game. With David Montgomery leaving and going to Detroit, Khalil Herbert was expected to take over the starting job at running back for the Bears.
Instead of giving Herbert the starting job outright, Chicago went with more of a committee backfield between him and Roschon Johnson. As of this past week, Herbert could be the clear number-one back going forward.
In week four, Herbert had 18 carries for 103 yards, four catches for 19 yards, and a touchdown. If he can continue receiving the bulk of the touches, he is good enough to hit this minuscule 40 rushing yards on Thursday night.
Washington’s defense has been fairly impressive against the run, but most teams have many different people running the ball. This prop should be easy as long as Herbert can get the ball consistently on the night.
After being shot just weeks before his NFL debut last season, Brian Robinson has turned into a really good addition for a team that hasn’t figured out a run game for a few years.
Robinson has been an electric addition to this struggling offense since the start of this season. So far, Robinson has managed 61 carries for 261 yards and 3 total touchdowns.
Chicago’s defense has been far worse than most expected. The Bears have given up the fourth most rushing touchdowns in the league thus far with four. Robinson should continue to have no immediate threat from any of the backs behind him and should be able to sneak into the engine at some point.
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After getting drafted by the Panthers out of Maryland, D.J. Moore was traded to the Bears in a draft pick package. Moore’s first year in Chicago has been fairly up and down as the Bears have started 0-4 once again.
Despite the record, Moore has produced solid numbers and almost always gets his targets no matter the team he’s on or what the scoreboard says.
So far this season, Moore has accumulated 19 catches on 24 targets for 301 yards and two touchdowns. He is undoubtedly Justin Fields' favorite target and should continue to be on Thursday night.
Once again, this Washington defense is strong. Yet, the Commander's defense gives up the 13th most targets per game. It will be interesting to see what Moore can do against a well-put-together defense, but he will surely get his targets, which should lead to receptions.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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