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UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hill - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published April 12, 2024
10 min read
  • UFC 300 is predicted to be the biggest, highest-selling UFC event in history

  • Alex Pereira defends his LHW title in the main event against a former champion

  • 10 fighters on the card have held undisputed gold at one point in time

UFC 300: Pereira vs Hill

The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the odds in the table below to place your bets and get $150 in Bonus Bets when wagering just $5 at DraftKings.

Fighter Odds
(C) Alex Pereira -125
Jamahal Hill +105
Fighter Odds
(C) Zhang Weili -485
Yan Xioanan +370
Fighter Odds
(C) Justin Gaethje -162
Max Holloway +136
Fighter Odds
Charles Oliveira +185
Arman Tsarukyan -225
Fighter Odds
Bo Nickal -2100
Cody Brundage +1100

For more UFC betting opportunities, take a look at our list of the best UFC betting sites.

UFC Fight Night Pereira vs Hill Predictions

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill - Picks & Predictions

(C) Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill - Light heavyweight championship

(C) Zhang Weili vs Yan Xioanan - Women’s strawweight championship

(C) Justin Gaethje vs Max Holloway - BMF championship

Charles Oliveria vs Arman Tsarukyan - Lightweight division

Bo Nickal vs Cody Brundage - Middleweight division

Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill - Light Heavyweight Championship

Alex Pereira TALE OF THE TAPE Jamahal Hill
36 Age 32
6 ft 4 in Height 6 ft 4 in
79 in Reach 79 in
9-2 Record 12-1, 1 no-contest

Not necessarily the main event many expected, the fight between former middleweight champ and current light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira against the man who never lost the LHW title Jamahal Hill has all the makings of a legendary battle.

Jamahal Hill won the title in dominant fashion, defeating Glover Teixeira (Alex Pereira’s coach and mentor) in the main event of UFC 283. Shortly after, however, he suffered an injury to his Achilles tendon and - like Jiri Prochazka before him - vacated the LHW title so that the division could move on.

With the title vacated, Alex Pereira moved up in weight to take on Prochazka at UFC 295. Pereira stunned the world with his second-round TKO over the former champion. In just 11 professional fights, Alex Pereira had won his second UFC championship.

Now Hill returns and looks to reclaim his title. Both men hold brown belts in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but Pereira is believed to have the striking advantage due to his kickboxing record and kickboxing black belt. 

Both men stand at 6-ft-4 and have a 79-inch reach. Pereira likely edges out Hill as the -125 favorite simply due to the fact of Hill’s recovery and inactivity. 

To find out how to place your bets for this UFC 300 light heavyweight championship main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Weili  Zhang vs. Yan Xioanana - Women’s Strawweight Championship

Weili Zhang TALE OF THE TAPE Yan Xioanan
34 Age 34
5 ft 4 in Height 5 ft 5 in
63 in Reach 63 in
24-3 Record 17-3, 1 no-contest

The first of two “official” title fights will also be the first time in UFC history that two Chinese fighters will go toe-to-toe for undisputed gold.

In what is her second run with the strawweight title, Zhang Weili looks to make her second title defense after having beaten Amanda Lemos via unanimous decision at UFC 292 last August.

She takes on fellow countrywoman Yan Xioanan. Ranked number one in the division, Xioana has won two in a row over top contender Mackenzie Dern and former champion Jessica Andrade, whom she knocked out in the first round of their UFC 288 fight last May.

Everything but one inch of height is equal amongst these two women but it is the champion Weili who comes in at -485 - the second-largest betting favorite on the main card.

Justin Gaethje vs. Max Holloway - BMF Championship

Justin Gaethje TALE OF THE TAPE Max Holloway
35 Age 32
5 ft 11 in Height 5 ft 11 in
70 in Reach 69 in
25-4 Record 25-7

Whether you take the BMF championship seriously or not, these two former champions are bound to have a barn burner of a fight regardless of titles. The BMF belt (that could be presented by UFC hall of famer Mark Coleman) is just the cherry on top.

Justin Gaethje, a former interim lightweight champion, is still ranked at number two in the division and is coming off of a devastating second-round head kick KO over Dustin Poirier. It was his second win in a row since his undisputed title loss to Charles Oliveira.

Max Holloway, a former featherweight champion and highly considered one of the best fighters in UFC history, has also won his last two in a row. After handing Arnold Allen his first professional loss, Holloway went on to defeat and retire the Korean Zombie by KO last August.

These fighters stand at equal height with only one inch of reach separating them. Their age and pro records are almost identical but the current BMF champion Gaethje takes the edge as a -162 favorite over the former featherweight.

Charles Oliveria vs. Arman Tsarukyan - Lightweight Division

Charles Oliveira TALE OF THE TAPE Arman Tsarukyan
34 Age 27
5 ft 10 in Height 5 ft 7 in
74 in Reach 72 in
34-9, 1 no-contest Record 21-3

Former UFC lightweight champion and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt Charles Oliveira takes on the number-four ranked Arman Tsarukyan in what has been “confirmed” as a number-one contender fight for Islam Makhachev’s lightweight title.

Oliveira had won 11-straight - a streak that included capturing UFC gold and defending his title once. He dropped the belt to current champ Makhachev at UFC 280 but has since bounced back with a massive first-round TKO win over Beneil Dariush at UFC 289.

Tsarukyan has only lost twice since signing with the UFC and is currently on a three-fight winning streak. 

In what was probably some of the worst luck in UFC history, Tsarukyan’s debut fight with the promotion was against Makhachev - a fight that went the distance but that Arman lost by decision.

Oliveira will have the height, reach, and grappling advantages in this bout but it is the younger Tsarukyan who will enter the octagon as an impressive -225 favorite over the former champ.

Bo Nickal vs. Cody Brundage - Middleweight Division

Bo Nickal TALE OF THE TAPE Cody Brundage
28 Age 29
6 ft 1 in Height 6 ft 1 in
75 in Reach 72 in
5-0 Record 10-5

If any controversy still surrounds the UFC 300 card, it likely concerns this fight. Many fans and pundits agree that, although the 5-0 Bo Nickal is an impressive UFC prospect, his fight against Cody Brundage shouldn’t be on the main pay-per-view card over former fights involving former champs.

Already believed to be a mismatch, Nickal comes in as an absolutely whopping favorite, -2100 at DraftKings Sportsbook, over Brundage - who is just 2-3 in his last five fights. 

Nickal, a NCAA division one and US National wrestling champion will also have a three-inch reach advantage over Brundage in the UFC 300 main card kick-off bout.

Confused about weight classes? Check out our full UFC Weight Classes guide!

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill - UNDERCARD Predictions

Jiri Prochazka vs Aleksandar Rakic - Light heavyweight division

Calvin Kattar vs Aljamain Sterling - Featherweight division

Holly Holm vs Kayla Harrison - Women’s bantamweight division

Sodiq Yusuff vs Diego Lopes - Featherweight division

Jalin Turner vs Renato Moicano - Lightweight division

Jessica Andrade vs Marina Rodriguez - Women’s strawweight division

Bobby Green vs Jim Miller - Lightweight division

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Cody Garbrandt - Bantamweight division

How to Watch UFC 300: Pereira vs Hill

  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada

  • When: Saturday, April 13

  • Time: 10 PM EST

  • How: UFC Fight Pass, PPV, ESPN+


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Ryan Bristlon

433 Articles

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.

Email: [email protected]

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