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Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Our first MLB best bet for Tuesday comes in the Bronx, where the New York Yankees host the Chicago White Sox. Both of these teams are facing sizable deficits in their respective division races. However, they have been playing two completely different levels of baseball to get there, as the quality of the Yankees compared to that of the White Sox should shine through on Tuesday evening.
Clarke Schmidt will take the mound for the Yankees in this game, which did not bode well for New York early in the season. But Schmidt has raised his level over his last few starts, giving up a total of three runs in his last three starts, in which he logged 15.2 innings of work combined. His spin rates have increased dramatically over his last few starts, which will help him once again in this contest.
There is a huge gap in power hitting between these two teams as well, which works in the favor of the Yankees. New York has hit 34 more home runs than the White Sox so far this season, an average of around a half a home run per game. Look for that to be a factor in a hitter-friendly park like Yankee Stadium to help the Yankees create some separation and cover the run line.
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
An intriguing pitching matchup is set to take place in Cleveland on Tuesday night, as the Boston Red Sox take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. James Paxton gets the start for the Sox, while Shane Bieber will toe the rubber for the Guardians. Here, we expect Bieber to outperform Paxton at home, and the Guardians to come away with an important win against an American League opponent.
So far this season, Bieber is 4-3 with a 3.72 ERA, but his home/road splits are worth mentioning when breaking down this contest. At home, Bieber is 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA, which compares favorably to his record of 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA on the road. Look for Bieber to continue to prosper at home in this matchup, to the benefit of a Cleveland team that sits in second place in the AL Central despite being five games below .500.
Boston comes into this matchup struggling offensively, as they lost three out of four to the Tampa Bay Rays in their most recent series. In their three straight losses to end that series, the Red Sox scored a combined five runs, as they were outscored 14-5 across those 27 innings of play. Barring a gem from Paxton in this game, Boston should drop their fourth in a row.
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Finally, our attention turns to the West coast, where the San Diego Padres will host the Seattle Mariners in interleague competition. In this contest, expect the Padres to come away with a win at home for the second straight night, with the pitching of the Mariners being a big reason for San Diego’s success.
Logan Gilbert is on the bump for the Mariners, entering this game with a 3-3 record and a 4.08 ERA. But his numbers are aided by two starts against the Oakland Athletics this season, where he allowed a combined four runs in 14 innings on the mound. Against a much better offensive team in this game, Gilbert will look more like the pitcher who struggled against the Yankees in his last outing than the pitcher who has dominated Oakland twice.
Pitching as a whole has been an issue for the Mariners of late, as they were demolished over the weekend by the Texas Rangers. In three games against Texas, the Mariners were beaten all three times, by a combined margin of 30-9. Against a dangerous San Diego lineup, look for the pitching struggles for the Mariners to continue, and for the Padres to come away with yet another home victory.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.More info on Jay Sanin
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