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Best MLB Prop Bets for Today: Pitchers Poised for Strong Outings

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published April 9, 2024
11 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 04 09 2024

With three wins in five MLB prop bets yesterday, we remained ahead of the game. After winning our only pitching prop yesterday, we’re going to gear more toward the men on the mound with Tuesday’s bets. Specifically, we’re going to back a few pitchers because it’s still April and pitchers still have the edge. For all five picks, the odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook, which is giving new users $150 in bonus bets for placing an initial wager of $5.

For more betting opportunities check our list of the best MLB betting sites and curated list of MLB promos and bonuses.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Astros vs. Royals (6:40 PM, EST)

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) at DraftKings

It wasn't a great start to the season for Alvarez, but he’s started to turn things around. Houston’s best slugger had four hits last Wednesday against Toronto and has collected six more hits in his last three games. He also has homers in back-to-back games, helping him go over 1.5 total bases in three straight. Despite a lefty-on-lefty matchup against Kansas City’s Cole Ragans, look for Alvarez to stay hot. He’s 3 for 8 with two doubles in his career against Ragans, so facing a lefty shouldn’t faze Alvarez, especially as he heats up.

Cristian Javier Under 2.5 ER (-115) at DraftKings

There were a few directions to go with Javier, who has been outstanding thus far. But since he's yet to allow an earned run in two starts, it seems safe that he’ll hold the Royals to two runs or less. Walks can sometimes be an issue with him, but Javier always seems to work his way around them. Despite their winning streak, the Royals have scored three runs in three of their last five games. Most Kansas City hitters don't have a good track record against Javier, who should have another strong outing.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Phillies vs Cardinals (7:45 PM, EST)

Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) at DraftKings

Turner is the Philly hitter we’re going to target against Sonny Gray, who is making his season debut with the Cardinals on Tuesday. Turner is 8 for 21 (.381) with two extra-base hits in his career against Gray. Those are the best numbers of any Philly hitter against Gray. Equally important, Turner is heating up after a three-hit game on Monday. He’s now gone over 1.5 total bases in three of his last four games. Since Gray is a surprisingly favorable matchup for him, we’ll ride the wave.

Zack Wheeler Under 4.5 Hits (+110) at DraftKings

We had a few options with Wheeler, who has strong numbers against most of St. Louis’ hitters. Ultimately, we chose to go with the value and back Wheeler to allow four hits or less. He held the Braves to just five hits in his first start of the season and the Reds to four hits last time out, so he should limit the Cards to four hits or less as well. The Cardinals have scored three runs or less in four of their last five games, so things aren’t going well offensively for them right now. Even in a 10-inning game on Monday, they had just six total hits. Wheeler probably won’t go much past six innings, so limiting St. Louis to four hits is feasible.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Athletics Rangers (8:05 PM, EST)

Nathan Eovaldi Under 4.5 Hits (+125) at DraftKings

Last but not least, look for Eovaldi to also limit his opponents to four hits or less on Tuesday. Of course, he has the advantage of facing the A’s, who have the fifth-fewest hits in baseball this season. Also, Oakland’s entire roster is a combined 5 for 32 (.156) against Eovaldi. More importantly, the Texas ace held the Cubs to four hits in six innings in his first start and limited the Rays to four hits over seven innings in his last start. Doing the same to the A’s should be easy.

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Bryan Zarpentine

204 Articles

Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

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