We roll into Friday fresh off of a 2-0 finish with Thursday’s small slate, now getting a large batch of games to groom through for more potential YRFIs. Two YRFIs immediately stick out with underwhelming pitchers having to face off against elite batting units, leaving the door open for early scoring should they continue to struggle with their command. For more information about YRFIs and what factors into them being worth a wager, you can read it here.
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We start off Friday’s edition of our daily YRFI piece with the nightcap matchup between the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers bats have been white hot since the start of the season, while the Mets have gotten off to a shockingly great start after preseason expectations having them pegged as a longshot at best to contend within their own division.
Even amidst a shockingly good start, it has not been because of the play of starting pitcher Sean Manaea as he has struggled to keep opposing batters off the bases so far this season. Going into this matchup, Manaea possesses an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.364, 18 strikeouts, 13 hits allowed, seven batters walked, and seven earned runs against.
While he has managed to limit the damage in the runs against department, he has flirted with danger with negative regression looming large over the stranded runners on base. Regression may swing the other way against the best batting lineup in baseball, especially with their first four batters residing in the top-10 in total hits. Manaea will have his hands full against MVP frontrunner Mookie Betts, as well as the elite contact ability that follows after him.
Speaking of the Dodgers, they trot out highly touted rookie prospect Yoshinobu Yamamoto who has had a roller coaster of a year in his first stint with the MLB. Yamamoto was highly sought after heading into 2024 with nearly every team jockeying for his services. The Dodgers managed to beat everyone out, yet Yamamoto has yet to round back into the elite form that made him so desirable.
While his current stats are certainly not Cy Young award-worthy, they have at least improved since his disastrous debut. Still, Yamamoto’s aggressiveness has left him prone to getting rocked with opposing offenses averaging over one batter on base per game. The Mets are currently in the top-10 in total on-base percentage and run top-heavy with their batting production, indicating they are more than capable of punishing Yamamoto’s aggressive style to get runners in scoring position.
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Before the main event matchup between the Mets and Dodgers, we target the highly anticipated duel between the reigning World Series champions Texas Rangers, and the always contending Atlanta Braves. Both roll out underwhelming pitchers, having to face two dangerous batting lineups that can put up runs in a hurry.
It’s been a year to forget for the Braves pitching staff as they are still currently dealing with the loss of starting production with Spencer Strider set to miss the rest of the regular season with an injury. Starting pitcher Chris Sale has yet to do his part with recouping the loss production, possessing an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.132.
As for who he will go up against, the Rangers Andrew Heaney has had a brutal start to his 2024 campaign as he enters the contest with an ERA of 6.75, a WHIP of 1.583, and just 10 total strikeouts. His inability to punch batters out will prove to be detrimental against the Braves elite top of their order with Ronald Acuna Jr, Michael Harris, and Matt Olson all possessing elite power and contact ability.
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