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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Which Pitchers Should You Fade on Friday?

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published April 19, 2024
11 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 04 19 2024

Even with a limited schedule on Thursday, we won three of our five MLB prop bets and came out ahead. That gives us confidence that we’ll close out the week on a high. Most of our prop bets on Friday involve fading pitchers. Keep reading to find out which ones. All of the odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and placing a $5 bet.

For more betting opportunities check our list of the best MLB betting sites and curated list of MLB promos and bonuses.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Astros vs. Nationals (6:45 PM, EST)

Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135) at DraftKings

Tucker might be the perfect player to target for a prop bet with the Astros facing Washington’s MacKenzie Gore on Friday. While he has just three career at-bats against Gore, Tucker has two hits against the lefty. Also, Tucker has 20 hits in 20 games this season, and half of those hits have gone for extra bases, including four in his last five games. In fact, Tucker is slugging .700 against left-handed pitchers this season. For whatever reason, he’s having success against southpaws, so we’re going to jump on the bandwagon.

MacKenzie Gore Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160) at DraftKings

Speaking of MacKenzie, he’s been impressive this season. He’s totaled at least six strikeouts in each of his three starts this season, including 11 over five innings against the A’s in his last start. But that was against a dreadful Oakland team. Gore is bound to have a letdown against a talented Houston lineup. It’s worth noting that the Astros have the third-fewest strikeouts in baseball right now, averaging a mere 6.7 per game. Considering that Gore has yet to complete six full innings in any of his three starts this season, it’ll be hard for him to get to six strikeouts against a team that excels at putting the ball in play.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Rangers vs. Braves (7:20 PM, EST)

Jonah Heim Over 0.5 RBI (+160) at DraftKings

How about some love for Heim? He’s somewhat easy to overlook in a stacked Texas lineup, but he has 15 RBI in 17 games played this season. While his RBI tend to come in bunches, Heim also has a five-game hitting streak. That's a good omen for someone who hits in the middle of a lineup that includes the likes of Corey Seager and Adolis Garica. He’s well-positioned to hit with runners on base and drive them in. The switch-hitting catcher also has a much better OPS this year against left-handed pitchers, so he should fare well against Atlanta’s Chris Sale.

Chris Sale Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105) at DraftKings)

Meanwhile, we’re going to fade Sale’s strikeouts in Friday’s game. The Rangers have the fifth-fewest strikeouts in baseball this season, averaging about 7.2 strikeouts per game. That’s a low number against a pitcher like Sale, who has an over/under of 6.5 strikeouts in this game. In his three starts this year, Sale has reached seven strikeouts twice and punched out six in the other start. Obviously, he has a chance to get to seven again, which is why the odds are about even on both sides. But against a talented lineup that is among the best in baseball at avoiding strikeouts, we’ll take the favorable odds and fade Sale’s strikeout total.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Brewers vs. Cardinals (8:15 PM, EST)

Kyle Gibson Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+105) at DraftKings

Gibson has allowed at least six hits in back-to-back starts, including one terrible outing against the lowly Marlins. Oddly enough, the Cardinals have allowed Gibson to complete at least six innings in each of his starts. That means they have faith in him to work around trouble. Naturally, the 36-year-old has been prone to getting in trouble because he can’t overpower hitters. While the Brewers haven't been great offensively lately, several Milwaukee hitters have had success against Gibson in the past, so we expect his struggles to continue.

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Bryan Zarpentine

199 Articles

Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

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