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Duke vs. UConn Betting Prediction, Best Bets, and Odds

Written by: Travis Pulver
Published March 30, 2024
10 min read
  • UConn is 20-10 ATS when listed as 8-point favorites or higher; they are 0-2 ATS in Tournament play.

  • Duke's win over Ohio State in the second round is one of two upsets in the Tournament (so far). However, the Blue Devils are 0-10 all-time versus UConn.

  • The last time a No. 7 seed made the Sweet Sixteen was 2016 (Washington, Tennessee), which was also the last time one made the Elite Eight (both made the Elite 8; Washington went on to play in the Final Four).

The Duke Blue Devils will meet the UConn Huskies in the Sweet Sixteen round of the NCAAW Tournament on Saturday, March 30, at 8 p.m. ET at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon, on ESPN.  

Sportsbooks list the Huskies as favorites for the game, but if Duke can pull off one upset, why not two?

NCAAW Duke vs.UConn Predictions

Sports Betting Promos for Duke vs. UConn

While upsets are not a common sight in the NCAAW Tournament, they are not unheard of. If you're considering betting on an underdog, this might be the perfect opportunity to sign up for a new account with one of our top March Madness sportsbooks

You can even use their welcome offer to place your bet on Duke.

Duke vs. UConn Prediction and Odds

Here is the betting line for Duke vs. UConn with odds via BetMGM:

Duke Blue Devils (22-11)

Duke's offense is respectable (68.8 ppg; No. 111 in the nation), but the path to victory lies with its defense (No. 40; 58 ppg allowed). That much was evident in its win over Ohio State in the second round when it held the Buckeyes to 63 points (16.3 points below its season average).

The Blue Devils defense will have its work cut out against a UConn offense averaging 80.7 ppg. Having 6'6" senior center Kennedy Brown patrolling the paint will certainly help, but it may not matter if Duke can force UConn to shoot from the perimeter.

The Huskies are one of the better shooting teams in the country (No. 2 field goal percentage). However, the more significant issue will likely be getting points on the board. Duke only has one player averaging double-digit points per game (Reigan Richardson, 12.4 ppg).

They shoot 31.8% from behind the arc, so if the Blue Devils fall behind, they'll probably have a tough time catching up.

UConn Huskies (31-5)

The Huskies entered the Tournament riding a nine-game win streak, which has since grown to 11 with victories over Jackson State and Syracuse in the first two rounds. Junior guard Paige Bueckers has led the team in scoring in every game but one in that span and is leading the team with 21.8 ppg this season.

Three other players average in double digits for UConn's No. 13-ranked offense. But UConn is more than just a solid-scoring team. The Huskies have held opponents to less than 60 points per game this season (56.7 ppg allowed).

UConn likes to keep the pace of play quick and tends to keep the ball moving. If they can get into a rhythm and remain in control of the tempo, the Blue Devils could be in trouble. But if Duke can force them into a half-court battle, the Blue Devils bench could give Duke a slight advantage.

Duke vs. UConn Pick

Duke has a solid defense that may slow down UConn's offensive machine but don't count on them to slow the Huskies down too much (or for long). However, look for the Huskies defense to shut down Duke on the offensive end of the court.

It would not be shocking to see Duke struggle to score in the 50s while UConn gets close to their season average (80.7).

How to Watch Duke vs. UConn

  • Location: Moda Center in Portland. Oregon

  • Game Time & Date: 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, 3/30/2024

  • TV Network: ESPN

  • Streaming: ESPN+ and streaming services like YouTube TV, Sling TV, and Hulu + Live TV.

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Travis Pulver

17 Articles

Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, Pulver's love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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