Zach Edey leads the nation in points per game at 24.4.
Grambling State beat Montana State to advance to this game.
Purdue averages 83.4 points per game, while Grambling State averages 65.1.
On Friday, March 22, the No. 1 seed in the Midwest, Purdue, will take on Grambling State, a No. 16 seed. Grambling State beat Montana State in the First Four to advance here, and Purdue fell last season to a No. 16 seed in Fairleigh Dickinson.
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Winning 29 games this season and losing four, the Boilermakers lost in the Big Ten Conference tournament to Wisconsin, 76-75, in the semifinals. They have the nation’s leading scorer in Zach Edey. He averages over 24 points per game. Three other players on Purdue average double-digit points, including Braden Smith, Lance Jones, and Fletcher Loyer. Edey also leads the team in rebounds, averaging 11.7 per game. He’s well over seven feet tall and also averages 2.2 blocks.
According to KenPom, they’re the No. 3 overall team, scoring 125 points per 100 possessions and allowing 95.9. They’re a top-10 offensive unit, scoring 83.4 points per game, shooting 48.8% from the field, and 40.8% from three-point range. However, they only attempt about 20 threes per game. They also average 40.4 rebounds per game, which is seventh in the country.
Of course, the elephant in the room is their performance last season. They lost in the first round to No. 16 Fairleigh Dickinson, and they’re in the same spot this year against Grambling State.
Coming off a win in overtime against Montana State in the First Four, Grambling State had three players score at least eight points, including Jimel Cofer, Jourdan Smith, and Antwan Burnett. None of these players lead the team in scoring, though. That belongs to Kintavious Dozier, who averages 13.1 points per contest. Jonathan Aku, who’s about six-foot-eleven, averages 5.2 rebounds per game.
According to KenPom, Grambling State is the No. 267 overall squad. They score 99.2 points per 100 possessions and allow 107.1 points.
Offensively, they’re the 335th-ranked team at 65.1 points per game. They allow nearly 69 points per game, and teams shoot 43.5% from the floor and 34% from three-point range.
On the glass, they’re 343rd in the nation with 30.8 per game.
PICK: Purdue Boilermakers -26 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook
There’s no chance we’d ever take Grambling here, so we’ll lay the points. Purdue has a juggernaut of an offense and no one on Grambling State will even come close to stopping Edey.
Grambling State doesn’t score many points, and teams shoot well on them. They’re also not great on the boards, an area where Edey excels, so they’ll have a difficult time there.
With a game like this (yes, we know Purdue lost last year), it’s a matter of how many points Purdue will win by, not whether they will.
Take Purdue -26.
Teams: Purdue vs Grambling State
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
Date: Friday, March 22 at 7:25 pm ET
TV: TBS
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