The Oregon Ducks beat UCLA, Arizona, and Colorado to win the Pac-12 Conference Tournament, despite being the No. 4 seed.
South Carolina’s most recent loss came to Auburn in the SEC Tournament, when it lost by 31 points and shot merely 28.1% from the field.
The Gamecocks rank second in KenPom’s luck rating.
Due to an impressive Pac-12 Conference Tournament run, the Oregon Ducks were able to punch their ticket to the “Big Dance.” The Ducks will be riding a four-game winning streak into the NCAA Tournament, while South Carolina’s most recent game resulted in a 31-point loss to Auburn.
Can the Gamecocks flip the momentum back in their favor, or will Oregon become a sneaky “Cinderella” team in this year’s NCAA Tournament? Check out our betting prediction below for the South Carolina Gamecocks versus the Oregon Ducks!
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The sportsbooks have the No. 6 seeded South Carolina Gamecocks as narrow 1.5-point favorites in their Round of 64 game against the red-hot Oregon Ducks. The Gamecocks have Moneyline odds of -115 to win outright, while the Ducks are -105 to secure a win and move on to the Round of 32. The point total for this exciting east coast versus west coast matchup rests at 133 points, with the Over (-112) holding a slight edge over the Under (-108).
It has been nothing short of a miraculous season for the South Carolina Gamecocks after they were ranked to finish dead last in the SEC preseason media poll. Instead, the Gamecocks finished third in the SEC and punched their NCAA Tournament ticket with an at-large bid due to their 26-8 record this season.
South Carolina is led by returner Meechie Johnson, freshman Collin Murray-Boyles, and transfers Ta’Lon Cooper, B.J. Mack, and Myles Stute. Johnson leads the team in scoring, posting just shy of 14 points per game, while Murray-Boyles registers the most rebounds, steals, and blocks per game.
Despite the Gamecocks’ exceptional overall record and SEC record, the advanced analytics do not love this team. South Carolina ranks merely 49th in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency metric (46th in adjO and 53rd in adjD).
The Oregon Ducks were on the outside looking in for the NCAA Tournament just over one week ago, but a huge run in the Pac-12 Conference Tournament helped them punch their ticket to the “Big Dance” through an auto-bid.
The Ducks finished fourth in the Pac-12 at the end of the regular season, dealing with various injuries throughout the season and often struggling to find any semblance of real consistency. In fact, Nate Bittle and Jesse Zarzuela have played merely five games apiece, while Keeshawn Barthelemy and leading scorer N’Faly Dante, missed nearly half of the 2023-24 campaign.
The latter player, Dante, is the only player that is available, as the other three (Bittle, Zarzuela, and Barthelemy) are out for the remainder of the season. However, Oregon has found guys to step up, including Dante, Jermaine Couisnard, Jackson Shelstad, Jadrian Tracey, and Kario Oquendo, and Kwame Evans Jr.
Oregon has had some really strong moments this season, including its current four-game winning streak over Utah at home and UCLA, Arizona, and Colorado on a neutral floor. Further, the Ducks snagged a fantastic road win against the No. 25 Washington State Cougars.
During its winning streak, Oregon shot a putrid 21.3% from behind the arc and still found ways to win. The Ducks held opponents to just 41.3% shooting from the field and 30.7% from deep in that stretch, displaying substantial improvements on the defensive end of the floor.
While the Ducks have not had an ideal level of consistency this season, a large portion of that can be attributed to injuries.
The Ducks rank merely 55th in adjusted efficiency margin (51st in adjO and 70th in adjD), but they have looked much improved and finally seem to have found cohesion with the players that are healthy. The fact that Oregon has won four consecutive games despite shooting 20% from the three-point line is extremely promising for us in backing the Ducks.
Further, South Carolina ranks 156th in opponent three-point percentage this season and has let its past three opponents hit roughly 39% of their attempts. The Gamecocks also got destroyed by 31 points to Auburn in the SEC Tournament, which is not great for their momentum in this spot.
PICK: Back the Oregon Ducks +1.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook given their recent stretch of play.
Teams: South Carolina vs. Oregon
Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Date: Thursday, March 21 at 4:00 PM ET
TV: TNT, March Madness Live
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