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Dalton Knect averages 21.1 points per game.
Saint Peter’s allows 63.2 points per game.
Tennessee is third in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric, allowing 91 points per 100 possessions.
On Thursday, March 21, the first day of the Round of 64, we have 16 games, including No. 2 Tennessee's matchup with No. 15 Saint Peter’s at 9:20 pm ET.
Below, we’ll review this Midwest Region matchup and several of the top online sports betting promos available for this matchup.
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Tennessee, a No. 2 seed, is coming off a 73-56 loss to Mississippi State in the Quarterfinals. This team is led by future NBA first-round draft pick Dalton Knecht, who averages over 21 points per game. The next closest are Jonas Aidoo and Zakai Zeigler, who each average 11.9. Aidoo also adds 7.7 rebounds per game.
Their loss in the SEC Tournament was massive because they finished with the best record in conference play at 14-4 and went 24-8 overall.
Per KenPom, they rank third in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, allowing just 91 points per 100 possessions. Offensively, they score 117 per 100 possessions.
Against the spread this season, they’re 16-15-1, so covering at a 51.6% clip.
As a team, they average 79.5 points per game (36th) but shoot just 44.4% from the floor (168th) and 34.2% from beyond the arch (160th).
Over their last three games, they’ve allowed 72.3 points per game, up from their season average of 67.9.
We also can’t ignore how poor Tennessee has done in the tournament under head coach Rick Barnes. Since arriving there, the Volunteers haven’t reached the Sweet Sixteen, and they’ve only reached that twice.
Uh oh, here we go—the darling from two seasons ago who made it to the Elite Eight in 2022.
Heading into this one as a No. 15 seed, Saint Peter’s was the No. 5 seed in their conference tournament and came away with a 68-63 win over No. 2 Fairfield. To get there, they beat Rider and Quinnipiac.
Saint Peter’s is lacking on both sides of the ball, though. It scored 98.6 points per 100 possessions and allowed nearly 101 over that same sample.
They average just 65.1 points per game (336th), shoot 39.8% from the floor (346th), and 33.9% from beyond the arch (180th).
Defensively, while they allow nearly 101 points per 100 possessions on a per-game basis, they’re seventh in the nation in points per game allowed at just 63.2 per outing. Teams shoot 41.2% from the floor (33rd) and 31.5% from beyond the arch (48th).
Corey Washington averages 16.5 points per game, which leads the team, and also leads in rebounds with 6.6.
Whenever there’s a battle between a No. 2 and No. 15 seed, the points spread is bound to be massive, and that’s the case here, as Tennessee is 21.5 points favorites.
Coming off a loss in the SEC Tournament, Tennessee should win here, but we’ll take Saint Peter’s +21.5 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can earn $150 in bonus bets after wagering $5.
While Saint Peter’s struggles offensively, its defense should be able to make something happen to keep this within the two-touchdown mark. Tennessee isn’t the best shooting team, but Saint Peter’s must create a game plan to stop Knecht.
Tennessee has a good defense in its own right, but there are too many factors here to feel comfortable taking them by a point total equal to that of three football touchdowns.
Look for a high teens win from Tennessee here, but not quite the 21.5.
Teams: Tennessee vs Saint Peter’s
Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
Date: Thursday, March 21 at 9:20 PM ET
TV: TNT
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
More info on Richard Janvrin
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