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Coming out of a bye week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will battle a Detroit Lions team that scored 42 in Week 5 against the Carolina Panthers.
Below, we’ll explore this matchup through the lens of NFL player props, and we have our three best ones below.
The Lions defense allows just 68.4 rushing yards per game, but they did allow 99 in Week 5 against the Panthers. For Rachaad White, what will help him reach the over here is the sheer amount of volume he gets running the ball. He’s seen 15 carries or more in three of four games this season. The game he didn’t receive 15 carries was Week 3 when he had 14. He’s had over 45.5 rushing yards in two games this season. With this amount of volume, despite not hitting it a couple of times, there’s bound to be some level of success on the ground simply because of that.
Also, the Lions are just three-point favorites here, indicating that the game should be fairly close. Thus, the Buccaneers shouldn’t be in a position to have to throw to keep up from behind.
Look for White to get plenty of opportunities here. His 3.3 yards per carry this season is far from fantastic, but if he can manage at least 3.7 as he did against the New Orleans Saints in Week 4 and get 13 carries, he’ll hit the over.
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Headed into this game, the Buccaneers defense allows 69.1% of the targets coming their way to be caught for 972 yards (10.1 yards per reception) and nine touchdowns. The cornerbacks for the Buccaneers have played quite well, including Zyon McCollum (seven receptions allowed on 14 targets) and Carlton Davis III (11 receptions on 18 targets).
With Jameson Williams back in the fold, Raymond still managed to finish third on the team in receiving snaps, but he had just 18, and wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown should be back for this one.
Look for Raymond to take a step back, with so many receivers looking for playing time here.
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This season, Reynolds has 16 receptions. Of those sixteen receptions, 12 have come from 10+ yards downfield in terms of air yards. On receptions of 10-19 yards, he’s averaging 19.7 yards per catch, and on deeper passes of 20+ yards, he’s averaging 24.3 yards per catch.
He’ll be looked for deep here and should be able to at least catch one in the intermediate level of the field and gain some yards after the catch (he averages 5.8 on receptions where he’s targeted 10-19 yards downfield).
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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