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The Los Angeles Rams are likely without quarterback Matthew Stafford in this one as they take on the struggling Green Bay Packers.
Below are our best prop bets for this matchup.
Since Week 2, it’s been a rough go of things for Love. Since then, he has just five touchdown passes and eight interceptions. He’s thrown at least one interception in each game since Week 2. However, we will take the +140 line value here and bank on him going clean in that department.
Facing the Rams, they will most likely be without Matthew Stafford here and perhaps have Brett Rypien under center. This should allow the Packers to be in a game where they can become more run-focused and take the ball out of Love’s hands. The Packers throw on 64.9% of their offensive plays, which is far too high for a player struggling like Love.
The Rams defense also only has four interceptions all season, so it’s not something they’re necessarily known for.
We’re taking the under based on the Rams lack of interceptions on defense and going against an opponent where the offense should be far more balanced.
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In the first quarter this season, the Packers average 1.9 points, and the Rams average just five—this is in the first quarter as a whole, not the first drive.
Over the last three games, the Packers averaged just one point in the first quarter and didn’t score any in Week 8. For the Rams, they’re at two points over the last three games.
Both teams are struggling offensively. The Packers averaged 13.3 points per game over their last three, and the Rams have averaged 21 in that stretch, but Stafford is likely out.
Expect a low-scoring affair and plenty of punts.
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Going up against the Rams, Musgrave will face a Rams defense allowing 39 receptions on 54 targets to opposing tight ends for 497 yards and four touchdowns. The touchdowns are spread across three weeks, including Week 4, 5, and one last week. Tight ends have an average line of approximately seven targets, five receptions, 62 yards, and 0.50 touchdowns per game against the Rams.
Musgrave is second on the team in receptions with 23 and runs a route 86.6% of the time on the field. He has yet to score a touchdown, but this week is as good as any for that to occur against a Rams defense that doesn’t have the best track record against them.
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*All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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