When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: Best TNF Player Props Week 1

Written by: Jay Sanin
Updated September 7, 2023
13 min read

The first Thursday Night Football game of the 2023 NFL season will take place between the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions. In that game, there are storylines galore, along with plenty of prop betting options to benefit from. Here, we look at our top-three Chiefs vs Lions prop picks for Thursday’s kickoff game in Kansas City.

NFL TNF Prop Bets Week 1 2023

Noah Gray Anytime TD Scorer

+210 at DraftKings Sportsbook

First up, we will take a flyer on Noah Gray to score a touchdown for the Kansas City Chiefs in this contest. Gray should see more action than usual in this game, given that Travis Kelce is in doubt to even play in the contest due to a knee injury sustained in practice this week. With Gray getting more snaps, look for the Chiefs to utilize him in the red zone as he will not be expected to do much.

If Kelce doesn’t play, the entire passing offense for the Chiefs changes in a dramatic way. They have really put their eggs into the Travis Kelce basket, so to speak, as their receiving corps is not nearly as dangerous as it used to be. Because of that, the tight end position will be prioritized no matter who is on the field for Week 1.

Kansas City also has a creative play caller to help get the ball to Gray in a situation where he has to step up and fill in. Andy Reid is so good at using misdirection and creative passing plays to get his players open. If Gray does see significant action here, look for Reid to find a way to get him some easy catches that could result in six points.

First Drive Result: Punt

+140 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Next, we will bet on the first possession of this game to be a punt at plus money. This is the first game of the regular season, and both of these teams will be knocking some of the rust off in live game action for the first time this year. Look for them to do so with some unsuccessful early drives and for the first drive to result in a punter sending the ball away to the other team after a failed third down conversion.

This is another prop market where the loss of Travis Kelce could be huge if the Chiefs get the ball first. Patrick Mahomes is so good at finding Kelce, who is a matchup nightmare, in big third down situations. Without Kelce to have to defend, the Lions will be better equipped to get a stop on third down and to force the Chiefs into a punting situation if they end up getting the football first.

Meanwhile, the Lions have their own adjustments that need to be made in this game early on. They have an entirely new running back corps to work with this season, with D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams going to new franchises this season. They will be relying heavily on a rookie running back in Jahmyr Gibbs, and their first offensive possession could be ugly as well.

Highest Scoring Half: Second Half

+110 at PointsBet

Finally, we will bet on the prop market that asks which half of football will be the highest scoring. Our selection is the second half, which comes in at a plus price of +110. This game should feature a relatively slow start, but it should open up as both teams get more comfortable offensively as things wear on.

Specifically, it should be the ability of the Chiefs to problem-solve and generate offense without Kelce that should improve as this game moves forward. Look for Reid and Mahomes to identify weak points in the Detroit defense as this game progresses, and for them to take advantage of those weak points in the third and fourth quarters of play. Additionally, look for the red zone execution to improve as this game wears on and defenses start to get a little worn out.

More TNF Betting

Check out some of our other betting content for Thursday Night Football:

Read about some of the best sportsbook promos for Thursday Night Football:

21+ | Terms and conditions apply
Claim Now
Image for Jay Sanin

AUTHOR

Jay Sanin

190 Articles

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.

More info on Jay Sanin
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.