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Image for Greg Lea Greg Lea - Updated February 20, 2023

Serie A 2022/23 Top Four Predictions, Odds, Picks

  • The Serie A 2022/23 season began on August 13 and will end on June 4
  • The teams that finish in the top four will qualify for the Champions League
  • AC Milan, Inter, Napoli and Juventus finished in the top four in 2021/22 

The Serie A 2022/23 season began on 13 August 2022 and will conclude on 4 June 2023. 

Each team in the division will play 38 games, with three points available for a win and one point for a tie. The four teams with the most points will qualify for next season’s edition of the Champions League, the most prestigious club competition in world soccer. 

At the time of writing, Napoli are 15 points clear at the top of the table. It would be a huge shock if they did not go on to win the Serie A title, and it is inconceivable that they would finish outside the top four.

The race for the three qualification spots behind Luciano Spaletti’s side looks set to be ultra-competitive, though, with five teams in contention.

Serie A 2022/23 Top Four Odds

The odds for the Serie A 2022/23 top four are provided by the BetMGM sportsbook. Sign up today for a $1000 first bet offer!

Serie A 2022/23 Top Four








AC Milan




Serie A Top Four Odds

Inter are widely expected to qualify for the Champions League with the best online sportsbooks. Their lead over fifth place is slender at the time of writing, but Simone Inzaghi has a strong squad at his disposal and the Nerazzurri should get over the line.

Atalanta have punched above their weight through Gian Piero Gasperini’s time in charge. They suffered a dip in form just before World Cup 2022 but have since rebounded.

Roma and AC Milan are also in contention for a top-four finish. Jose Mourinho’s side, who won the Europa Conference League last term, are looking to return to Europe’s primary competition. 

Milan, who won the Serie A title in 2021/22, are also pushing for Champions League qualification. Ditto Lazio, who have finished in the top four in only one of the last seven seasons.

What Happens to the Top Four Teams in Serie A?

The top four teams in Serie A automatically qualify for the group stage of the following season’s Champions League. 

In previous seasons, the top two or three teams automatically reached the group stage of the Champions League, and the third- or fourth-place finisher entered the qualifying phase. The number of qualification spots per league changes based on how well that country’s teams have performed in continental competition over the previous five years. 

At the start of the 2017/18 campaign, UEFA handed four automatic qualification spots to Europe’s biggest leagues, including Italy’s top tier.

Which Clubs Have the Most Finishes In Serie A Top Four?

(Last 20 seasons) 


Number of Finishes





AC Milan


















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Serie A Top Four FAQ

Who Are the Top Four in Serie A?

Whereas the Premier League had a ‘big four’ in the 2000s – Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool – the term is not really used in Serie A.

There has long been a ‘big three’ in Italy, consisting of Juventus, AC Milan and Inter. Those three clubs have won a combined 74 Serie A titles. They are the only three sides to have claimed that prize on more than nine occasions.

But it has been a long time since Juventus, AC Milan and Inter finished as the top three in Serie A. The last time that happened was way back in 2008/09.

Was Serie A the Top League?

The English Premier League is widely regarded as the strongest soccer league on the planet in 2023. 

It is home to many of the world’s best players and coaches, while the fact it has several sides capable of winning the title (unlike, say, Ligue 1 or the Bundesliga) means it is more competitive than many other leagues on the continent.

The Premier League has not always occupied top spot, though. For much of the 1980s and 1990s, Serie A was widely seen as the pinnacle. 

Between 1989 and 1998, there was a Champions League finalist from Italy in nine out of 10 seasons (the exception was Red Star Belgrade’s victory over Marseille in 1991).

Was Serie A Top Four Always a Goal for Clubs?

The Champions League was previously known as the European Cup and was originally open to domestic champions only. 

To take part in the continent’s biggest competition, a club had to win its national league title (the only other way to do so was to win the previous year’s edition of the European Cup/Champions League). 

For instance, in the 1994/95 Serie A season, only title winners Juventus qualified for the Champions League. Lazio, AC Milan, Roma and Inter all participated in the UEFA Cup (which is now known as the Europa League) instead.

Serie A was awarded a second qualification spot for the competition in time for the 1996/97 campaign, and a third and fourth were added in 1998/99. 

It was only then that the top four became an objective for Serie A sides. Prior to that, finishing fourth was not overly different from finishing fifth or sixth.

How can I watch Serie A on TV?

Soccer fans based in the United States can watch Serie A on ESPN. Kick-off times usually range from 11.00 AM to 4.00 PM (EST).

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Greg Lea

787 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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