Serie A 2022/23 Top Four Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Greg Lea
Updated February 20, 2023
5 min read
  • The Serie A 2022/23 season began on August 13 and will end on June 4
  • The teams that finish in the top four will qualify for the Champions League
  • AC Milan, Inter, Napoli and Juventus finished in the top four in 2021/22 

The Serie A 2022/23 season began on 13 August 2022 and will conclude on 4 June 2023. 

Each team in the division will play 38 games, with three points available for a win and one point for a tie. The four teams with the most points will qualify for next season’s edition of the Champions League, the most prestigious club competition in world soccer. 

At the time of writing, Napoli are 15 points clear at the top of the table. It would be a huge shock if they did not go on to win the Serie A title, and it is inconceivable that they would finish outside the top four.

The race for the three qualification spots behind Luciano Spaletti’s side looks set to be ultra-competitive, though, with five teams in contention.

Serie A 2022/23 Top Four Odds

The odds for the Serie A 2022/23 top four are provided by the BetMGM sportsbook. Sign up today for a $1000 first bet offer!

Serie A 2022/23 Top Four

Odds

Inter

-1000
BET HERE

Atalanta

-167
BET HERE 

Roma

-154
BET HERE 

AC Milan

-133
BET HERE 

Lazio

+150
BET HERE 

Serie A Top Four Odds

Inter are widely expected to qualify for the Champions League with the best online sportsbooks. Their lead over fifth place is slender at the time of writing, but Simone Inzaghi has a strong squad at his disposal and the Nerazzurri should get over the line.

Atalanta have punched above their weight through Gian Piero Gasperini’s time in charge. They suffered a dip in form just before World Cup 2022 but have since rebounded.

Roma and AC Milan are also in contention for a top-four finish. Jose Mourinho’s side, who won the Europa Conference League last term, are looking to return to Europe’s primary competition. 

Milan, who won the Serie A title in 2021/22, are also pushing for Champions League qualification. Ditto Lazio, who have finished in the top four in only one of the last seven seasons.

What Happens to the Top Four Teams in Serie A?

The top four teams in Serie A automatically qualify for the group stage of the following season’s Champions League. 

In previous seasons, the top two or three teams automatically reached the group stage of the Champions League, and the third- or fourth-place finisher entered the qualifying phase. The number of qualification spots per league changes based on how well that country’s teams have performed in continental competition over the previous five years. 

At the start of the 2017/18 campaign, UEFA handed four automatic qualification spots to Europe’s biggest leagues, including Italy’s top tier.

Which Clubs Have the Most Finishes In Serie A Top Four?

(Last 20 seasons) 

Club

Number of Finishes

Juventus

16

Inter

15

AC Milan

12

Roma

10

Napoli

8

Fiorentina

5

Lazio

5

Atalanta

4

Udinese

3

Chievo

1

Sampdoria 

1

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Greg Lea

Soccer Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Premier League
Champions League
Bundesliga
La Liga
Betting Picks
Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts in Politics
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