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Chiefs vs. Jets Picks, Predictions & Odds on SNF Week 4

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Published October 1, 2023
10 min read

The surging Kansas City Chiefs will hit the road to take on the New York Jets amid a growing cloud of tension surrounding Zach Wilson’s status as NY’s number-one QB.

Chiefs vs. Jets Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal

Kansas City Chiefs

-9.5 (-115)

-500

O 42.5 (-110).

New York Jets

+9.5 (-105)

+385

U 42.5 (-110)

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up with a FanDuel promo code for $200 in bonus bets + $100 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Chiefs vs Jets 2023 Predictions

Chiefs vs. Jets Betting Preview

The Chiefs annihilated the Bears 41-10 last week after leaping ahead to a 34-0 halftime advantage. Patrick Mahomes threw for 272 yards and three touchdowns and Travis Kelce hauled in a touchdown with Taylor Swift looking over from a box.

The Jets, meanwhile, lost to the New England Patriots for the 15th straight time in their rivalry history, 15-10. Wilson finished with 157 yards on 18/36 passing and a QBR of 17.6.

Reports have emerged suggesting the Jets’ locker room is on the verge of an implosion because of the defense’s dissatisfaction with Wilson’s play. Certain members of the roster allegedly view their head coach, Robert Saleh, as a Zach Wilson, apologist, which has compounded the issue.

The Jets signed eight-year veteran Trevor Siemian in the midweek to serve as Wilson’s backup. Although Siemian has not won in his last six starts, he did throw for 11 touchdowns and only three interceptions in six games with the New Orleans Saints in 2021.

While the Jets’ defense is viewed as one of the staunchest in the league, it's the Chiefs’ that ranks fourth in points allowed per game (13.3), while the Jets are down at 12th (20.3). 

Patrick Mahomes is 8-0 straight up but only 1-8 against the spread as a road favorite of more than seven points. Will this be another commanding performance by the defending champions, or will the wobegone Jets hold their own against the 2022 MVP?

Chiefs vs. Jets Picks & Predictions

Chiefs -9.5 (-115)

It’s impossible to argue against Mahomes’ lack of success against the spread within the context of being a road favorite of more than a touchdown. That being said, this is far and away the best defense he’s ever had (despite it being the youngest defense in the NFL), and Zach Wilson is the worst quarterback in the league. He has the worst completion percentage and passer rating and second-worst QBR in the league and has a .77 touchdown-to-interception ratio for his career.

The Chiefs had a slow start to the year offensively but just erupted for 41 points and 456 total yards in a get-right game against the Chicago Bears. They now have real momentum heading into a road matchup that is, by all accounts, beyond frustrated with its situation.

Last week was the week of upsets in the NFL as three of the four largest favorites on Sunday all lost. The Chiefs are the second-largest favorites in all of Week 4 (behind the San Francisco 49ers at -14), but we believe they will get the job done.

Travis Kelce over 71.5 receiving yards (-114)

Kelce has not hit this total in two appearances but is getting healthier and assuming a larger role with every passing week. The Chiefs’ loss to the Detroit Lions on opening night (which Kelce missed with a sprained knee) showed his importance against tough defenses, and that’s exactly what the Jets have. Watch for Mahomes to heavily target his favorite pass-catcher.

Zach Wilson under 176.5 passing yards (-114)

Wilson has played three very tough defenses in those of the Buffalo Bills, Dallas Cowboys, and New England Patriots, and he did not throw for more than 170 yards in any of them. It’s not going to be any easier this week against a Chiefs secondary that has held Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, and Justin Fields to an average of 178 yards, the sixth-lowest in the league. Wilson also has the lowest completion percentage in the league and is at risk of losing his starting job.

Head to FanDuel to bet on any of our picks - Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets.

Chiefs vs. Jets Betting Promos

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How to Watch Chiefs vs. Jets

  • Game: Chiefs vs. Jets

  • When: 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 1

  • Where: NBC, Peacock

More NFL Week 4 Stories

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AUTHOR

Grant Mitchell

548 Articles

Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.

In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.

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