MLB Power Rankings 2024: Here Comes Houston

Written by: Michael Savio
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated July 2, 2024
16 min read
  • Bryce Harper is on the 10-Day IL with a minor hamstring injury

  • Juan Soto will avoid a stint on the IL after a hand injury suffered last week

  • The Astros have won nine of their last 10 games

After a brutal start to the season, the Astros have finally woken up. Their hot streak has come as the Orioles and Yankees have scuffled, leading to bookmakers changing how they see the AL playoff race. While they may not earn the league’s top seed, there is no question that this Astros team is once again a contender.

Below, we will be sharing our latest power rankings for the 2024 MLB season. We’ll share insights into each team in our rankings, along with their odds to win their division from BetMGM Sportsbook. If you’re looking for a new sportsbook to bet on baseball this season, BetMGM is giving new players a $1,500 First Bet Offer*. Simply use promo code WSNMGM, and you’ll get your initial wager refunded with Bonus Bets of up to $1,500* if it loses.

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MLB Power Rankings 2024

2024 MLB Power Rankings 

30. Colorado Rockies

The Rockies land in our bottom spot after dropping a series to the White Sox over the weekend. The team didn’t win a single series in June, and there is no reason to believe that will change in July. Ryan McMahon and Elias Diaz will likely be dealt this month, taking away the team's two best hitters. The Rockies should be able to boost their farm system as a result, creating some hope for the future.

29. Chicago White Sox

The White Sox season has been over for a month, which means the team will need to decide what to do with Garrett Crochet. The 25-year-old is one of the most promising young pitchers in baseball and could fetch many prospects from a team like the Dodgers. However, Crochet also represents the most exciting part of the team’s future. The team has said they aren’t looking to move the young star, meaning a team will need to blow them away with an offer.

28. Oakland Athletics

The A’s are about to have to decide what to do with closer Mason Miller. The rookie has been stellar this season, with 14 saves and a 1.96 ERA.  However, Oakland’s save chances have dried up since their surprising start, meaning opportunities to use Miller have dwindled. The 25-year-old could still be stretched out to become a starter, but we think the A’s will move him for a major haul at the deadline.

27. Miami Marlins

The Angels have been doing some winning over the last two weeks, taking series from the Cardinals and Mariners before splitting a four-game series with the Phillies. While the run has been nice for Marlins fans, this remains one of the worst teams in baseball. The team has already shown they will be sellers at the deadline, but we are doubtful they’ll be able to get much for their limited talent.

26. Los Angeles Angels

The Angels were able to capitalize on series against the A’s and Tigers over the last week, winning six of their seven games. That run won’t save their season, but it does give fans hope for the future. Not only do they have several prospects in their starting lineup and playing well, but they have also seen Luis Rengifo break out to steal 21 stolen bases and a .317 batting average. He’ll either be a crucial part of a quick rebuild, or the Angels will flip him for a far higher price at the deadline.

25. Detroit Tigers

The Tigers started the season strong but have returned to their losing ways. That means they will be sellers at the trade deadline, which could include dealing with 27-year-old Tarik Skubal. The lefty has been one of the best pitchers in baseball and could end up fetching a major haul for a Tigers team desperate for prospects. Many contenders are looking for pitching, which will only drive up the price for the young ace.

24. Texas Rangers

The Rangers haven’t been able to turn things around quite yet, but that doesn’t mean you should count them out. They will get a ton of help for their starting rotation as several key pieces get healthy over the next month. Plus, they seem to have found something in 22-year-old Wyatt Langford. The rookie was fantastic in June, finishing with a .309 batting average, 22 RBIs, and six stolen bases. The outfielder hit for the cycle on Sunday, showing that his hot streak is far from over. 

23. Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are a bad baseball team, and nothing will change that in 2024. While they own one of the best rotations in baseball, their hitting, defense, and bullpen are a mess. That has led to a lot of quality starts that end in losses, sending Chicago to the cellar of the NL Central. Manager Craig Counsell is famous for making the most of weak rosters; this one is likely beyond saving. 

22. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto’s season took a nosedive in June as they went 11-16. That has them in last place in the AL East, trailing the Orioles and Yankees by 14.5 games. Rumors suggest they will have a firesale at the trade deadline, meaning Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero will likely be on the move. The team hoped the duo would be their future, but that hasn’t panned out. While both players are still young, it appears Toronto is leaning toward a full rebuild that will start this summer.

21. Cincinnati Reds

The Reds aren’t quite contenders yet, but they could be set up for success over the next decade. A big reason is Elly De La Cruz, who has already had 14 home runs and 40 stolen bases during the season. The 22-year-old is still developing and will only improve as the Reds improve their lineup over the next couple of seasons. Combine that with Cincinnati’s impressive young rotation, and you can see why Reds fans are excited for the future.

20. Washington Nationals

The Nationals have struggled to recapture the magic of their 2019 MLB World Series title, but they are now beginning to reap the benefits of trading Juan Soto to the Padres. Washington go three top prospects for Soto, with MacKenzie Gore and CJ Abrams both looking like stars in the making. Now, the team will call up top prospect James Wood, the third major prospect acquired in the Soto trade. If he develops as expected, it will give the Nationals one of the most exciting young cores in the league.

19. Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been slipping down the standings, but we aren’t counting them out just yet. Their rotation has been fantastic since adding Paul Skenes, and their lineup has some solid bats with Bryan Reynolds leading the way. Pittsburgh has also seen 25-year-old Oneil Cruz breakout as he remains on pace to shatter his old career records. If they decide to add some pieces over the summer, don’t be surprised if the Buccos find themselves with their first playoff appearance since 2015. 

18. Arizona Diamondbacks

Is Corbin Carroll good? That is a question the Diamondbacks will need to find out quickly if they want to save their season. The center fielder finished fifth in the 2023 MVP race but has been horrendous in 2024. He owns a .213 batting average to go with two home runs and just 23 RBIs. While he continues to swipe bases, his .305 OBP leaves little opportunity to do so. The 23-year-old is still early in his career, but the team will need an upgrade to compete this season if Carroll can’t turn things around.

17. San Francisco Giants

The Giants need help with their pitching as they rank twenty-fifth in ERA and twenty-eighth in OBA. Their offense isn’t good enough to make up for that poor production, but the rotation could be getting a major boost with Blake Snell set to return as soon as next week. The Giants signed the 2023 Cy Young winner in the offseason, but he has posted a 9.51 ERA across six starts this season. He has missed over a month of the season with a left adductor strain. How he returns from that could determine if the Giants make the playoffs in 2024.

16. Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays have pushed their record back to the .500 mark after winning nine of their previous 13 games. While their recent run is impressive, we see their future tied to the play of Randy Arozarena. June was the outfielder's best month, finishing with a .291 average and a fantastic .424 on-base percentage. He finished with an average below .200 in the previous two months, making June’s improvement a reason to hope. If he can keep swinging the bat well, it will boost the Tampa lineup enough to make a run at an AL Wild Card spot.

15. New York Mets

Just as we were ready to bury the Mets’ 2024 season, they have completely turned things around. New York is 18-8 since May 30 and now just sit two games out of an NL Wild Card spot. While trusting the Mets is always challenging, they have a ton of talent on their roster. That includes 24-year-old Mark Vientos, who owns an OPS of .932 over 38 games with the Mets this season. The biggest question is what version of Edwin Diaz they will get back once he has finished serving his suspension. Diaz had been back to his old self in June but finished May with an ERA of 8.68.

14. St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals are one of the teams we are most excited to watch in the second half of the season. After opening the season with a 15-24 record, they have bounced back and now trail the Brewers for the NL Central lead by 6.5 games. They have the talent to compete, but their core is aging. Expect them to go all-in at the trade deadline as they make one last push before needing to make some tough decisions in the offseason.

13. Boston Red Sox

Boston’s hot streak came to an end in San Diego this weekend, but they still own an impressive record of 44-39. While their starting rotation has cooled off in a big way, Rafael Devers has been one of the hottest players in baseball. He owns an average of .444 to go with four home runs and six RBIs over the last week. That puts him on pace for another 30+ home runs and 100+ RBI season that could help lead Boston to the playoffs.

12. Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are officially back. They have won nine of their last ten games, including a sweep of the Orioles and a series win against the Mets. The lineup continues to crush opposing pitching, and the pitching is starting to turn around. Among the starters who have improved is Hunter Brown, who owns a 1.47 ERA and has delivered seven straight quality starts since May 22. The team has had high hopes for the 25-year-old, and it appears he is finally living up to them.

11. San Diego Padres

The Padres went from disappointment to contender over the last couple of weeks. They have won nine of their last 11 games, putting themselves into contention for the NL Wild Card spots. There are a few reasons for their turnaround, but one of the biggest is the improved play of Manny Machado. The third baseman had a rough start to the season but has registered at least one in ten of his last 11 games. His power has also started to return, significantly boosting an already good Padres lineup. 

10. Seattle Mariners

The Mariners' run at the top of the AL West seems to be coming to a close. They have lost eight of their last 11 games and now lead the Astros but just 3.5 games. Seattle has our favorite starting rotation in the league, but their lineup is once again a disaster. They currently rank dead last in batting average, right behind the White Sox and A’s. While adding a bat or two at the deadline could help, things won’t turn around unless Julio Rodriguez can figure things out.

9. Kansas City Royals

The Royals are coming off a key series win against the Guardians, but they did a lot of losing during June. The bad news is that this team is a year or two away from truly competing. The good news is that they have seen Bobby Witt Jr. go from being a top prospect to a betting favorite for the 2024 AL MVP. Kansas City could get more dangerous if they can add some bats at the trade deadline and grab a Wild Card spot, but we don’t expect much more from them this season.

8. Atlanta Braves

The Braves are far from being fixed, but they have found their new leadoff man in Jarred Kelenic. The outfielder has been leading off for Atlanta over the last 14 games, posting a .345 average with five home runs and 11 RBIs during that span. We saw Kelenic break out with the Mariners last season, but he faded as the season went on. While there is a chance he could do so again, Kelenic will be set up for success, hitting atop one of the best lineups in the league.

7. Minnesota Twins

The Twins have underwhelmed us for much of the season, but they have been heating up during June. They are 14-6 since June 9, putting them back into the picture in the AL Central. A big reason for that success is shortstop Carlos Correa, who is enjoying one of the best seasons of his career. He is on pace to easily surpass his numbers from his 2023 campaign, but his OBP has seen the most significant jump, going from .312 in 2023 to .380 this season.

6. Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are coming off one of the best weeks a team has ever had. They have won six of their final seven games, and have hit five grand slams over their last eight. The run includes a sweep of the Rangers and a series win against their top rival the Chicago Cubs. While their lineup gets all the attention, Milwaukee’s starting rotation is starting to come together. Bryse Wilson, Tobias Myers, and Colin Rea are all settling in, making the Crew one of the most well-rounded teams in the NL.

5. New York Yankees

It has been a brutal couple of weeks for the Yankees. They are 5-11 since June 13, failing to win series against the Red Sox, Orioles, Braves, Mets, and Blue Jays. The good news is it appears Juan Soto won’t need a trip to the IL with a hand injury. He has been a significant reason why the team has turned things around this season, helping the Yankees to post the second-most home runs and RBIs. 

4. Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers closed the month of June by winning eleven of their final fourteen games. While much of that run came against bad teams, LA was without Mookie Betts, Max Muncy, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Walker Buehler. That list doesn’t include injuries to some key relievers, making their recent success impressive. The Dodgers are one of the few teams that have the depth to sustain these kinds of injuries, which is why they remain the betting favorite to win the 2024 World Series.

3. Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians now lead the AL Central by six games, but issues with their starting rotation continue to get worse. They now have three starters with ERAs over 5.00 after Triston McKenzie, Logan Allen, and Carlos Carrasco were all shelled in June. All three are better than they have played, but time is running out to turn things around. We don’t think the Guardians division title hopes are in jeopardy, but the rotation will need to be fixed if they want a shot at competing in the playoffs. 

2. Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies own the best record in baseball, but they lost first baseman Bryce Harper to the IL last week. The MVP candidate isn't expected to miss time but has been hit hard by injuries over the last few seasons, making it hard to count on him remaining healthy once he returns. Combine that with the regression of starting pitcher Ranger Suarez and the team’s challenging summer schedule, and you can see why we have dropped them to the second spot in our rankings.

1. Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles have closed the gap on the Yankees as both are tied atop the AL East standings. This young team leads all of baseball in home runs and RBIs while ranking in the top five in batting average, ERA, Wins, and saves. That shows the incredible balance that this Baltimore team has, which has allowed them to keep pace with the Yankees. We expect the team to get even better at the trade deadline, making them a tempting bet to win the AL this season.

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Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Gambling News
MLB
NCAAB
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
3 years
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