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Broncos vs. Bills Picks, Predictions & Odds MNF Week 10

Written by: Michael Hanich
Published November 13, 2023
10 min read

Week 10 of the 2023 NFL Season is set to conclude with a matchup of desperate AFC teams looking to make a last-effort playoff push. The Denver Broncos (3-5) go on the road after an extensive rest to take on the Buffalo Bills (5-4).

The Broncos started the season and Sean Payton lost their first three games of the season. They started with an overall record of 1-5 with their only win being a 31-28 score at the Chicago Bears. The Broncos are on a two-game winning streak with the last win being a 24-9 score over the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Bills have been wildly inconsistent this season after the first four weeks. After a tough 22-16 loss at the New York Jets in week one, Buffalo won three consecutive games. The Bills have won only two of their last five games and are coming off a 24-18 loss at the Cincinnati Bengals last week.

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Broncos vs. Bills Odds

Denver Broncos+7 (-110)+260O 47.5
Buffalo Bills+7 (-110)-325U 47.5

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Broncos vs Bills Predictions

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

Last season, the Denver Broncos had one of the worst offenses in the NFL. After one off-season, the Broncos completely changed their philosophy. Denver improved under quarterback Russell Wilson, but there are still major inconsistencies. The Broncos are ranked 17th in points per game (21.5) and 23rd in total yards per game (302.1).

Buffalo's defense is one of the strongest teams to go against in the red zone. The Bills are ranked 18th in the league and total yards allowed per game (334), but they are fourth in the league in points allowed per game (17.8). This is a team that has been blessed with solid depth injuries have plagued this defense.

Offensively, Buffalo has the potential to be one of the most explosive offenses in the league, thanks to the elite passing ability of quarterback Josh Allen and the All-Pro skills of wide receiver Stefon Diggs. Despite the talent to take them to the top of the league, the Bills have a problem with consistency and reliability when it comes to rushing game. Due to the lack of support in the right game, the Bills’ offense is heavily limited. Buffalo ranks seventh in points per game (26.7) and seventh in total yards per game (370.2).

Buffalo has a chance to get their offense in sync as they take on the most defense in the NFL in the Denver Broncos. The Broncos are ranked last (32nd) in points allowed per game (28.2), total yards allowed per game (405.9), and rushing yards allowed per game (154.1). This is the same Broncos’ defense that allowed the Miami Dolphins to score 70 points on them earlier in the season. 

Broncos vs. Bills Picks & Predictions

Pick #1 - First TD Score From Buffalo Bills Quarterback Josh Allen (+650) at DraftKings

Josh Allen is the heart and soul of the Bills offense as he has scored 24 of the 28 touchdowns in nine games this season. He has thrown 18 touchdowns and rushed for six of the ten scores on the ground. If there is going to be a score from the Bills, it will come from Josh Allen first.

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Pick #2 - Over 86.5 Receiving Yards From Buffalo Bills Wide Receiver Stefon Diggs (-115) at DraftKings

Bills' star receiver Stefon Diggs hasn't accounted for over 86 yards in three games. Diggs is starting to antsy to account for another 100-yard receiving performance. He should have a solid opportunity to accomplish this against the Broncos' terrible defense.

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Pick #3 - Over 211.5 Passing Yards From Denver Broncos Quarterback Russell Wilson (-115) at DraftKings

Russell Wilson has certainly found more of a rhythm in his last few games with the Broncos. While the Bills are efficient in stopping opponents from scoring, they allow an average of 219.6 passing yards per game.

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How to Watch Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills

  • What: Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills

  • Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, New York

  • When: Monday, November 13, 8:15 PM E.T.

  • How to Watch: ABC, ESPN, ESPN+, YouTube TV, NFL

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Michael Hanich

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Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.

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