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Jaguars vs. Falcons Picks, Predictions & Odds

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published October 1, 2023
5 min read

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Atlanta Falcons head across the pond to kick off the Sunday slate of Week 4 NFL action live from Wembley Stadium.

This is like a home game away from home for the Jaguars, as the team routinely plays here yearly. 

However, both teams are coming off devastating losses, with the Jaguars surrendering more than 30 points to the Houston Texans and the Falcons scoring just six on the road against the Detroit Lions. 

Below, we have three best bets after reviewing the best NFL betting sites

Jaguars vs. Falcons Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal

Atlanta Falcons

+3 (-105)

+136

O 43

Jacksonville Jaguars

-3 (-115)

-162

U 43

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Bet $5 Get $200 Instantly + Up to $150 in No Sweat Bets.
Jaguars vs Falcons Predictions

Jaguars vs. Falcons Betting Preview

As mentioned, both teams are coming off massive losses in Week 3. The Falcons are 2-1 on the season, and 1-2 ATS, and the Jaguars are 1-2 on the season with the same record ATS. 

Looking at the Jaguars, they’re led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who’s been fantastic this season with a running game that’s been productive featuring Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby. His receivers had several drops in Week 3, but there’s plenty of talent with Christian Kirk and Calvin Ridley. 

They’re getting some excellent play out of left tackle Walker Little, but the rest of their offensive line is floating around average. 

There’s plenty of talent on the defensive side of the ball, but their pass rush, which features Josh Allen and former No. 1 overall pick Travon Walker, is having trouble generating pressure while their coverage unit, namely cornerback Tyson Campbell, has come back down to earth after an incredible start to the season.

The Falcons have a different offense style than the Jaguars, led by their rushing attack of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Quarterback Desmond Ridder has proven to be more of a liability than helpful when passing the ball, so it’ll be key for the Falcons to build a lead early. 

Defensively, they’re getting plenty of production in the front seven, especially from players like Grady Jarrett, David Onyemata, and Nate Landman. Landman is more productive against the run, but that will have a role against Eitenne and Bigsby. 

In the secondary, they’re getting a fantastic debut season from their big-time free agent, safety Jessie Bates III. 

Find our three best bets for this game and head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your bet. 

Jaguars vs. Falcons Picks & Predictions

Falcons +3 (-105)

The Falcons have an offense built to run a lot, and they’ll have to here to have any chance at winning. As mentioned, Ridder is simply a liability. He’s completing just 62.5% of his passes for 553 yards (6.3 yards per attempt) for two touchdowns and one interception. He has seven turnover-worthy plays on the year, too. This is all despite having players like Drake London and Kyle Pitts on the roster. 

Picking the Falcons +3 is an endorsement of their rushing attack. It’s dynamic, led by Robinson, averaging 5.5 yards per carry, rushing for 213 yards on 39 carries. He had just 30ish yards on ten carries in Week 3. 

The Falcons front seven will create enough pressure to keep the game close enough. 

However, if the Jaguars go up 10-0 or something of that sort, it could be difficult for the Falcons to climb back in unless Ridder nails a deep pass or two. 

Under 43 (-110)

This should be a lower-scoring game based on the Falcons defense and their somewhat one-dimensional offense. The Jaguars have trouble generating pressure, but Ridder isn’t the guy to take advantage of that. So, if the Falcons can create pressure and the coverage unit can slow down the Jaguars weapons, expect a lower-scoring game in London. 

We’ll pick the Jaguars to win here 17-16. 

Desmond Ridder Over 0.5 Interceptions (+150)

We’ve spoken negatively about Ridder throughout, and for good reason. He has just one interception this season, but he’s been fortunate with his seven turnover-worthy plays. We think the Jaguars manage to take one away from Ridder here as the good luck catches up with him.

Getting “+” line value is just the icing on the cake. 

*Statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.

Head to DraftKings to bet on any of our picks and claim $200 in bonus bets when you sign up. 

Jaguars vs. Falcons Betting Promos

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How To Watch Jaguars vs. Falcons

  • Game: Jaguars vs. Falcons

  • When: 9:30 a.m. EST on Sunday, Oct. 1

  • Where: ESPN

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Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst & Content Specialist

Expertise:
MLB
NFL
NCAAB
NCAAF
Online Sports Betting
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
9 years
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