NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds 2024: Derrick Henry Dominates on Sunday Night Football

• Derrick Henry is the current leader in odds to finish the season with the most rushing yards at +275. 

• Six players have odds better than +1000: Henry, Saquon Barkley, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Mason, Josh Jacobs, and Alvin Kamara. 

• Lamar Jackson is +2800 to lead the league in rushing.

Leading the NFL in rushing is a massive testament to a single player's success, but it also comes down to opportunity. If a player does well enough in the run, they could even be considered an MVP candidate, especially with how passing offenses have looked through the first four weeks of the NFL season. 

Through the first four weeks of the NFL season, 10 players are averaging 75 rushing yards or more per game, and of the top 10 rushers, five have a yards per carry average of five yards or more. 

The NFL has seemingly reverted to the early and mid-2000s, increasingly emphasizing the running game. So far in 2024, quarterbacks are averaging 202.8 passing yards per game, down from 217.9 a season ago. In 2018, quarterbacks were averaging 255.7 passing yards per game. 

Below, I’ll look at the top favorites to lead the league in rushing, highlight some deep underdogs, and pick my favorite to lead the league in this category.

NFL 2024 Most Rushing Yards Odds

Odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to place your bets at Caesars: $1,000 First Bet on Caesars OR $250 in Bonus Bets

Favorites to Lead the 2024 NFL Season in Rushing

Before you place any wager on a player to lead the league in rushing, it’s essential to understand where these players are ahead of the 2024 NFL season.

Derrick Henry - Running Back, Baltimore Ravens (+275 at Caesars)

In Week 4 on Sunday Night Football, Henry exploded for the Ravens, raking in 199 rushing yards on 24 carries. The initial explosion came with an 87-yard run with 10:50 to go in the first quarter and didn’t look back. 

The Ravens average 34 rush attempts per game, and while Jackson is also factored in, Henry will be regularly used. 

That said, it’s worth noting that Henry, who now leads the league in rushing with 480 yards, is only ahead of Mason by 33 yards following a 199-yard night. 

Henry, of course, won’t continue to run for close to 200 yards per game, but he’ll continue getting work.

Claim $1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Saquon Barkley - Running Back, Philadelphia Eagles (+350 at Caesars)

In a 33-16 loss on the road to the Buccaneers, Barkley still had 84 rushing yards on 10 carries. The Eagles were in a negative game script throughout after trailing 24-0, but he still managed to average 8.4 yards per carry. 

Right now, Barkley is third in rushing at 435 yards and is averaging six yards per carry. The problem for the Eagles is that they’re 3-10 over their last 10 games. They must start playing from ahead and let Barkley rack up the yards to take the season lead.

Use code WSN1000 for $1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Jonathan Taylor - Running Back, Indianapolis Colts (+500 at Caesars)

The Colts have won two straight games, and Taylor rushed for 110 yards (Week 3) and 88 yards (Week 4) in those wins. He’s scored three times and has a combined 44 carries. 

Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson left the game early with an injury that, if needed, he could’ve come back into the game for. 

Taylor will get plenty of usage, but he’s fifth in rushing at 349 yards with 72 carries. He’s averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Ahead of him is Kamara, who catches plenty of passes; Barkley, who continues to produce; Mason, who could have competition should Christian McCaffrey come back; and Henry, who I’ve discussed above. 

There’s a chance this will happen, but the Colts will need to find ways to play from ahead more often instead of Richardson turning the ball over. That said, Richardson being on the field does help Taylor, as the defense has to account for Richardson keeping the ball and taking the carry for himself.

Bet on Caesars and Get $1,000 First Bet

Jordan Mason - Running Back, San Francisco 49ers (+550 at Caesars)

Mason had a fantastic game against the Patriots in Week 4, rushing 24 times for 123 yards and a score. He’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry on 91 carries for 447 yards. He’s averaging 111.8 yards per game and appears not to be slowing down.

McCaffrey recently went to Germany to find a way to remedy his bilateral Achilles tendinitis. Mason is playing well enough that they may not rush him back, but if he does come back, that’ll immediately impact Mason’s touches and ability to get to the No. 1 spot. 

The 49ers are averaging 32.3 rush attempts per game, tied for sixth-most in the NFL.

Use code WSN1000 for $1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Josh Jacobs - Running Back, Green Bay Packers (+700 at Caesars)

Jacobs didn’t get a chance to rack up a lot of yardage in Week 4 as the Packers fell behind 28-0 at home, and quarterback Jordan Love needed to throw a bunch from behind. 

He had nine carries for 51 yards and is now seventh on the rushing list with 329 yards across 71 carries, averaging 4.6 per carry.

He was averaging nearly 93 rushing yards per game. 

The Packers should be in better positions throughout the season, so I think Jacobs ultimately challenges for it. This is a team that’s still averaging 32.5 rush attempts per game despite just 19 total and nine from Jacobs in Week 4. 

Look for Jacobs to be in the running at the end of the season.

Bet on Caesars and Get $1,000 First Bet

Alvin Kamara - Running Back, New Orleans Saints (+850 at Caesars)

Heading into the season, it was safe to assume that Kamara would primarily be a pass-catcher and a runner second, but that hasn’t been the case. 

Kamara had 19 carries for 77 yards in Week 4 (4.1 yards per carry). In Week 3, in a 15-12 loss at home, he had 26 carries for 87 yards (3.3 yards per carry). 

I do believe Kamara will continue getting touches, but he’s not as effective with them as others. 

Looking at the top 25 rushers in terms of overall rushing yards, Kamara has a better yards per carry than just seven players. Every player inside the top 10 has a better yards per carry than him.

Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars Today

J.K. Dobbins - Running Back, Los Angeles Chargers (+1200 at Caesars)

Dobbins was off to a hot start through the first two weeks of the season, but over the past two weeks, he has just 44 yards in Week 3 and 32 yards in Week 4. The Chargers are injured across the board, including the offensive line, quarterback, and more. 

These injuries impact Dobbins as the defensive line is able to gobble him up more easily, and with the quarterback's injuries, the defense can key in on him even more. 

The Chargers should be in some more positive gamescripts, but I believe these injuries have sunk Dobbins’ chances to lead the league in rushing. There’s just too many to overcome. 

He’ll continue to see about 15-plus carries per game, but the defense will look for him every time he’s on the field.

Join Caesars Today and Get $1,000 First Bet

Underdogs to Lead the 2024 NFL Season in Rushing

While we examined the top candidates to lead the league in rushing in 2024, let’s look at the two players toward the bottom of the odds list.

Deuce Vaughn - Running Back, Dallas Cowboys (+25000 at Caesars)

He has just seven carries for 20 yards this season. He’s not getting on the field at all. 

Braelon Allen - Running Back, New York Jets (+25000 at Caesars)

Allen has 27 carries for 130 yards and is averaging 4.8 yards per carry. He’s 45th in rushing right now, but he’s been a great complementary player to Breece Hall. He’d be intriguing to see without Hall in the picture. At this point, though, it’s too late in the season for him to make up any ground should something catastrophic happen to Hall.

Use code WSN1000 for $1,000 First Bet on Caesars

Who Will Lead the 2024 NFL Season in Rushing

My Pick - Saquon Barkley (+350 at Caesars)

The Eagles are 2-2 this season, and regardless of the outcome, Barkley has made the most of his rush attempts. 

Here are his rushing yards by week:

• Week 1: 109 (34-29 win over Packers)

• Week 2: 95 (22-21 loss against Atlanta Falcons)

• Week 3: 147 (15-12 win over Saints)

• Week 4: 84 (33-16 loss against Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Yes, the rushing yards have been less in the losses, but he’s making that happen on fewer carries, too. 

I think the Eagles will find a way to turn it around. They have a Week 5 bye week, and this will hopefully help get some injured players back on the field. 

Barkley cannot be stopped by anything other than the success of his team. If the Eagles can win 10 games this season, I think Barkley will end up leading the league in rushing. He’s far too dominant of a runner.

Bet on Caesars and Get $1,000 First Bet

Who Led the League in Rushing in 2023?

McCaffey led the league in rushing in 2023 with 1,459 yards across 16 games and 272 carries. He averaged 5.4 yards per carry and 14 touchdowns. He added 268 yards on 59 carries on in the postseason across three games. 

Single-Season Rushing Yard Leader History

According to Pro Football Reference, the single-season rushing yard leaders have been tracked every year since 1932. However, the modern “Super Bowl” era began in 1967. 

Below, we’ll look back at each single-season rushing leader from 1967 and beyond. 

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds

Before you start wagering on the NFL single-season rushing leader, you must find the best sportsbook. This is something that many bettors often overlook. If your state has multiple online sportsbooks, you should explore these odds to compare and contrast. 

Here’s some information on some of the most well-known online NFL betting sites. 

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

How to Read NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds

Looking at the odds above, you’ll find that every player has a “+” next to their name. During the preseason, there’s a lot of speculation as to who everyone thinks will win, but once the season starts and stats start to accumulate, you’ll begin seeing “-” as players break away from the pact. 

Using examples including $100, here’s how to read “+” and “-” odds. 

• With “+” odds, you’ll win the amount attached on a $100 wager. For example, McCaffrey is +650. If you wager $100 on this and win, you’ll win $650. 

• With “-” odds, you must wager that amount to win $100. For example, if McCaffrey was -650, you’d need to wager $650 to win $100.