NFL Coach of the Year Odds, Predictions, Best Bets 2023

• The NFL COY Award is given to the coach who made the most of their roster
• Brian Daboll took home the award in 2022 after leading the Giants to a 9-7-1 record and a playoff berth
• Dan Campbell, Matt Eberflus, and Sean Payton are the preseason frontrunners in 2023

NFL Coach of the Year Odds

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Every NFL season, multiple head coaches lead their team to success. However, winning the NFL Coach of the Year award takes more than just success. Typically, the Coach of the Year award is given to a leader whose team defied the odds and expectations during the regular season. Last year, Brian Daboll took the Giants from last place in the NFC East with a 4-13 record to a 9-7 playoff team in one of the league’s toughest divisions. This gave him the Coach of the Year without much doubt. Daboll will likely take a backseat in the voters’ minds this season, as there hasn’t been a back-to-back winner since Joe Gibbs in 1983. 

This season, Dan Campbell tops the preseason odds. He is followed by Matt Eberflus and Sean Payton. Let’s take a look at some of our favorite prospects for the award. 

Dan Campbell (+1000)

Detroit Lions fans haven’t been this excited for a season since the Calvin Johnson era. A big reason for this is their head coach, Dan Campbell. Campbell was hired in January 2021 and the future looks bright as his team turned a 3-13 record into a 9-7 campaign in 2022. The Lions finished second in the NFC North in his sophomore season at the helm. 

He started his coaching tenure by drafting one of the biggest wide receiver standouts of the 2022 season in Amon-Ra St. Brown. Soon after, he brought Jamaal Williams back to Detroit, and the running back finished second in the league with 17 total touchdowns. 

The turnaround was evident for a franchise with no winning record since the 2017 season, and Campbell led the charge. If he can keep the wheels turning in the right direction, it will be easy to name him Coach of the Year.

Sean Payton (+1200)

The Broncos traded a 2023 first-round pick, a 2024 second-round pick, and a

2024 third-round selection for Sean Payton. This capital shows how much the Broncos’ front office valued a serviceable head coach. Nathaniel Hackett nearly destroyed the franchise last season, and Denver wouldn’t allow it to happen again. 

Payton was 149-93 over his regular season career leading the Saints. The coach accumulated seven division titles, one Super Bowl victory, and the 2006 Coach of the Year award. The former Saints head coach has accomplished nine winning records in 15 seasons as a head coach, so there is no doubt he has the experience and the ability to turn a franchise around. 

The Broncos brought in Russell Wilson in a trade with Seattle during the 2022 offseason, and it hasn’t paid dividends just yet. There is the belief that Payton has the ability to fix the quarterback, but only time will tell. Wilson showed a massive decline in production, limiting the Broncos to a 5-12 record. If Payton can improve the team and lead them to a playoff spot, he has a realistic chance of claiming his season Coach of the Year. 

Robert Saleh (+1800)

The New York Jets have been one of the most doomed teams in the NFL over the past decade. 

Yet, it’s almost certain to change with them acquiring Aaron Rodgers from the Packers.

Robert Saleh was a big reason the team fought for Rodgers, and they finally were able to make it happen. 

This is a tough situation for Saleh to win this award because any amount of success that is brought to the Jets will be due to their off-season acquisitions. Saleh was brought into New York’s organization in 2021 after the team only won two games in the previous season. In Saleh’s first season at the helm, they struggled with quarterback issues and only managed to earn four wins. 

However, in 2022 the future looked bright as they won seven games and had a lot of close losses. If Aaron Rodgers can help this young team with Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, along with newly acquired Mecole Hardman and Allen Lazard, the sky is the limit. The Jets must be exceptional for Saleh to win, but they have the roster to shine.

On the Outside Looking In

Matt Eberflus (+1200)

The Bears have been terrible the last ten years, managing only to win 64 of their 162 regular season games. Notable additions like D.J. Moore and D’onta Foreman could help, but we don’t believe this team will turn around in just one offseason. It’s probably best to fade Eberflus toward the top of the odds board. 

Pete Carroll (+2000)

The Seahawks had a very unpredictable turnaround in the 2022 season with the evolution of Geno Smith. This team has shown a lot of progression since trading away Russell Wilson and Pete Carrol shouldn’t go unnoticed for the success. The defense is building, while the offense is churning and with one more exceptional season, it would not seem far-fetched for the Coach of the Year to land in Carroll’s hands. 

The Best Bet

This season is expected to be one of the most contested Coach of the Year races in recent memory. With all the possibilities surrounding this season, Sean Payton still has the best chance to win at +1200. has the best odds at +1200 to win. Russell Wilson was awful last season and it seemed like it was because of a lack of coaching leadership from Hackett.

The Broncos have the talent on defense to set the offense up for success. Wilson doesn’t have to play like an MVP quarterback for the Broncos to win games. Take Payton at +1200.

• Best Bet: Sean Payton (+1200)