NFL Win Totals Over/Under Predictions: Chiefs and Lions Tied for Win Total Lead

• Two teams are 12-1: the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions.

• Two teams are 11-2: the Minnesota Vikings and the Philadelphia Eagles.

• Two teams have just two wins through Week 14: the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders. 

The 2024 NFL season is now through the first 14 weeks.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions are tied for the best record in the league at 12-1, while the Philadelphia Eagles and Minnesota Vikings are just behind them at 11-2. The Vikings are in the same division as the Lions.

The Bills had a chance to be in the 11-2 club last week, but they lost in Week 14 on the road to the Los Angeles Rams. 

Only three teams have a point differential north of +100 through 14 weeks: the Lions, Eagles, and Bills. The Lions lead the league at +183, the Bills are +129, and the Eagles at +180. 

With so much going on around the league regarding wins and losses, I’ll examine the latest win total odds for each team, the top favorite per their win total line, and more.

2024 NFL Win Totals Odds

Odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to place your bets at Caesars: Bet $1, Get 10 100% Profit Boost Tokens.

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Highest Projected NFL Win Totals

Before you begin wagering on win totals, let’s examine some top teams per the above odds.

Kansas City Chiefs - 14.5 Wins (Over -115; Under -115 at Caesars)

For the 10th time this year, the Chiefs won a one-score game. They’re now 10-0 in one-score games this season and 12-1 on the year. Their only loss came on the road in a 30-21 game against the Buffalo Bills. 

In fact, they’ve won back-to-back games 19-17 over division rivals, the Raiders and Chargers. 

Conventional wisdom would say that this one-score win streak was unsustainable, but the Chiefs continue to find ways to pull it off. They have four games left against the Browns, Texans, Steelers, and Broncos. 

They need to win three of those four to get over their line and have just one home game left.

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Detroit Lions - 14.5 Wins (Over -145; Under +115 at Caesars)

The Lions also improved to 12-1 after a sensational 34-31 win over the Packers on Thursday Night Football. The Lions are dealing with ample injuries, now in the double digits, among defensive ends, defensive tackles, and linebackers. 

Still, their offense has been quite healthy, which allows them to continue winning scoring races against other teams. 

The Lions offense is second in total yards (394.8), fourth in passing yards (243.8), fourth in rushing yards (151.1), and first in points (32.1) per game. 

They round out the year against the Bills, Bears, 49ers, and Vikings. 

Like the Chiefs, they need to win three of those four to top this line.

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Philadelphia Eagles - 13.5 Wins (Over -135; Under +105 at Caesars)

The Eagles continue to win, racking up nine straight after starting the season 2-2. However, as 12.5-point favorites at home against the Panthers, they barely got the job done, winning 22-16. 

They have the league-leading rusher in Saquon Barkley, who has well over 1,600 rushing yards, but their passing game is second-worst in the league at just barely over 180 yards per outing. 

In fact, wide receiver A.J. Brown answered with one word, “passing,” when asked what the offense needs to work on. He finished the game with four catches for 43 yards. 

In addition to the run game, the Eagles defense has been excellent this season, allowing the least total yards per game to opponents (284.2) and the second-least passing yards (178.5) per outing. 

They play their interstate rival, the Steelers, this week followed by three straight divisional matchups. 

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Minnesota Vikings - 13.5 Wins (Over +160; Under -200 at Caesars)

It’s not too often that a team can be 11-2 and be second in their division, but the Vikings have been trying to catch the Lions all season. As mentioned in the Lions section, the Vikings will have a chance to beat them in the final week of the regular season, but before that, they have three games against the Bears, Seahawks, and Packers. 

They’re at home against the Bears and Packers and on the road against the Seahawks and Lions. 

The Vikings are coming off a 42-21 win at home in Week 14 over the Atlanta Falcons and their former quarterback, Kirk Cousins. 

Their new quarterback, Sam Darnold, threw for nearly 350 yards and had five touchdown passes. 

The Vikings defense has been intriguing this year. They allow a lot of yards through the air but also average 1.54 interceptions per game. 

Additionally, they’re sixth in points allowed (19.4) and give up the second-least rushing yards (87.2) per game.

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Lowest Projected NFL Win Total

Las Vegas Raiders - 3.5 Wins (Over +110; Under -140 at Caesars)

When it rains, it pours in the case of the Raiders, who are dealing with yet another quarterback injury. 

Gardner Minshew broke his collarbone, and now, Aidan O’Connell left Week 14 with a cast on his leg. 

Now it’s up to Desmond Ridder. The running game has been the worst in the league all season, but they saw some life with Sincere McCormick rushing 15 times for 78 yards (5.2 yards per game). 

Still, this offense just lacks firepower, given the team's many quarterback injuries and the absence of a running game. 

The lone bright spot has been tight end Brock Bowers, who is in the top five in catches and receiving yards. 

They’re coming off a 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers and have the Raiders, Jaguars, Saints, and Chargers left on their schedule. 

To top 3.5, they need to win two of these four. 

The Jaguars are their best bet, and the Saints, now without Derek Carr, could be the second win spot. Still, the Raiders have lost nine straight. 

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New England Patriots - 3.5 Wins (Over -220; Under +170 at Caesars)

The Patriots have one more win than the Raiders, at 3-10, but they have the same line. Of course, their odds to go over are considerably better, at -220.

They’ve lost three straight games and have the Cardinals, Bills, Chargers, and Bills again left on their schedule. 

Suppose they don’t beat the Cardinals on the road. In that case, the Bills twice and Chargers are massively daunting tasks, especially with the Bills losing last week and losing ground to the Chiefs for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. 

I’m not sure the Patriots will win another game. Look for them to pick inside the top three in the 2025 NFL Draft.

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Who Will Lead the 2024 NFL Season in Wins

My Pick - Philadelphia Eagles 13.5 Wins (Over -135; Under +105 at Caesars)

I’m going with a bit of an underdog here, but I’ll take the Eagles. The Chiefs have a pretty tough schedule coming up, including the Texans at home and back-to-back road games against the Steelers and Broncos.

Meanwhile, the Eagles are five-point home favorites over the Steelers and finish their season against three straight divisional opponents. The Commanders are the toughest challenge, but I think they win that game and, of course, handle the Cowboys and Giants. 

I think they win out and finish 15-2 as the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

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Who Led the League in Wins in 2023?

The Baltimore Ravens went 13-4 in 2023 and led the league in wins. They were one of 11 teams with double-digit wins. They lost in the AFC Championship to the 11-6 Chiefs. 

Highest NFL Single-Season Win Total History

Below, we’ll look at each team that led the NFL in wins from the modern Super Bowl era, which began in 1967. 

It’s important to remember that the number of games per team per season has changed over the years:

• 1967-1977: 14 games

• 1978-1981: 16 games

• 1982: Nine games (strike)

• 1983-1986: 16 games

• 1987: 15 games (strike)

• 1988-1989: 16 games, no bye week

• 1990-1992: 16 games, one bye week

• 1993: 16 games, two bye weeks

• 1994-2000: 16 games, one bye week

• 2001: 16 games, two bye weeks (September 11 attack)

• 2002-2020: 16 games, one bye week

• 2021-Present: 17 games, one bye week

With that understood, let’s look at the single-season win leaders since 1967. 

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NFL Win Totals Odds

Before you dive into wagering on NFL win totals, we at WSN strongly encourage you to find the best sportsbook for this. When examining the odds, I’d recommend deciding what you want to wager on and letting that guide you to the wager with the most upside. I highly recommend odds shopping if you’re in a state with multiple online sportsbooks.

Take a look at the table below to learn more about three of the most well-known sportsbooks in the industry today: BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook. 

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How to Read NFL Win Totals Odds

When looking at NFL win totals, you’ll wager by looking at the win total line and deciding whether you think the team will exceed or fall short of that. You’ll often see “+” and “-” odds with this. 

Here’s how you can examine these, using $100 as a frame of reference. 

• If you bet on something with “-” odds, you must wager that amount to win $100. If a team is -134, you must wager $134 to win $100. 

• If you bet on something with “+” odds, you’ll win that amount with a $100 wager. If a team is +134, you’ll win $134 with a successful $100 wager.