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The Buffalo Bills will take on their AFC East rival, the New England Patriots, in Week 7 of the NFL season. The Giants are coming off a narrow 14-9 win over the New York Giants, while the Patriots have fallen to 1-5 on the season after a loss to the Las Vegas Raiders.
Below, we have a three-leg Same Game Parlay for this matchup, and the odds are coming in at +370—we’ll discuss each leg.
When it comes to divisional matchups, plenty of things can happen due to the teams' familiarity with one another, but right now, in Week 7 of the NFL season, the Patriots’ season is over. They’ve had numerous injuries on defense to key players like Christian Gonzalez and Matthew Judon; their offensive line has been atrocious outside of Trent Brown; they have weak receiving options; the running backs can’t do much with how bad the offensive line is, and quarterback Mac Jones hasn’t thrown a passing touchdown since Week 3. However, since then, he has five interceptions and nine turnover-worthy plays.
The point is that it’s been brutal this season for the team that had a dynasty run for over 20 years.
The Patriots have some winnable matchups here when you look at the Bills cornerbacks, but we don’t trust the offensive line or Jones’ ability enough for them to make the most of it.
Conversely, the Bills offensive line will face a reduced Patriots pass rush. With Bill Belichick coaching them, that’s something to always consider, but there aren’t any Judon-like threats there. At cornerback, the Bills will face these cornerbacks:
Jackson has played better since coming to the Patriots, but he was horrific with the Chargers. Perhaps he’s returning to the form that got him the massive payday from the Chargers.
Still, there’s simply too much against the Patriots here to overcome. The Bills should win by double digits.
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We went over the Patriots corners above, but we also need to talk about how productive Diggs has been this season. He’s had double-digit targets in all but two games and has scored four touchdowns over the past three weeks. He’s average 12.7 yards per catch, and he’s facing a cornerback group that, outside of Bryant, hasn’t played much on the Patriots 2023-24 roster.
Diggs will be heavily targeted here, as he always is. He has 64 targets this season, and the next closest Bills pass catcher is Gabe Davis with 30.
The 2023-24 season has been a massive letdown for Stevenson and those who believe in him coming into the year. Now, we’re taking the under on his rush attempts. Over the past two weeks, fellow running back Ezekiel Elliott has been cutting into the workload. Stevenson had eight carries in Week 5 and 10 in Week 6.
Here, the Patriots are sizable underdogs and are unlikely to be in a position to run much. Instead, Stevenson will likely get more work as a pass catcher like we saw in Week 6, where he caught five balls on six targets.
Getting a +110 value for the third leg is excellent, especially for a player in a timeshare against a near double-digit spread.
When you wager $5, you’ll receive $200 in bonus bets when you sign up for a new player account at DraftKings Sportsbook using our link.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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