Best Packers vs. Steelers Prop Bets NFL Week 10

Written by: Michael Hanich
Published November 12, 2023
5 min read

Two of the most historic NFL franchises we'll meet on the field once again in week 10. The Green Bay Packers (3-5) are set to go on the road to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) in a huge NFC versus AFC matchup. At this point in the season, both teams are trying to make significant playoff pushes, most likely in the wild cards spots.

The Packers started the Jordan Love era with a 2-1 start to the season with wins over the Chicago Bears on the road and the New Orleans Saints at home. Green Bay then started to see a pattern of poor performances, mostly on the offensive side of the ball. After the 2-1 start, the Packers would lose four consecutive games. They are, however, coming off a 20-3 home will over the Los Angeles Rams this past weekend.

The Steelers have been one of the most frustrating teams to understand and face this season. Their offense is easily one of the worst units in the NFL this season, thanks to poor coaching and development from offensive coordinator Matt Canada. Their defense has kept them in the hunt for a potential AFC North divisional title. Pittsburgh started the season with a 2-2 overall record but has won three of the last four games. 

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Packers vs. Steelers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Green Bay Packers +3 (-102) +145 O 39
Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-118) -175 U 39

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Packers vs Steelers Predictions

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Best Prop Bets

Pick #1 – Under 39 Total Points Scored (-112) at DraftKings

This game has the making to be one of the lowest-scored games, not only in week 10 but in the entire 2023 NFL season. Both the offenses of the Green Bay Packers and the Pittsburgh Steelers have been incredibly underwhelming. Don’t expect a high-scoring performance from either offense.

Green Bay is ranked 20th in the league in points per game (20) and 22nd in the league in passing yards per game (199.6). The transition from longtime starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love was expected to meet some challenges throughout the season, but the offense as a whole has not adjusted to the new change.

Pittsburgh has acquired a lot of reliable talent through the past few NFL drafts, especially at the skill positions. The Steelers have found a young and determined quarterback, a powerful running back, and a reliable set of wide receivers. What is holding back the potential of the Steelers' offense is the incredible incompetence of offensive coordinator Matt Canada. Canada's poor coaching and development have led the Steelers to be ranked 29th in the league in points per game (16.6), 24th in passing yards per game (188) and 25th in rushing yards per game (90.5).

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Pick #2 – Over 0.75 Sacks from Pittsburgh outside linebacker T.J. Watt (-135) at DraftKings

Pittsburgh Steelers outside linebacker T.J. Watt continues to be one of the top playmakers on the defensive side of the ball in the NFL. In eight games played this season, Watt has accounted for 9.5 sacks. He is well on his way to winning another potential Defensive Player of the Year award.

Watt will have a big task ahead of them on Sunday as he will attempt to apply serious pass rush to the Packers offensive line. Green Bay has allowed 18 sacks this season.

They are a unit that is played well the season for Green Bay despite the tough transition with Jordan Love at quarterback. Watt will be the most dangerous pass rusher that Green Bay will face all season. 

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Pick #3 – Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns from Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love (-230) at DraftKings

Jordan Love has not exactly had the Nevada season in his first year as a starting quarterback. He has had some growing pains for sure, but he has found ways to struggle, along with the rest of the offensive players for Green Bay.  

In eight games played this season, Love has only thrown for more than one passing touchdown in three games. The Packers' offense has faced off against the dreadful defense of the Pittsburgh Steelers, who rank 13th in the league in points per game (20.4). That would be higher if the Steelers' defense was not put into terrible situations that the offense could not help provide.

While there is hope for Love as the starting quarterback for the Packers in the future, there is, however, not a lot of hope for him to account for a highly productive game against this Steelers defense.

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How to Watch Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • What: Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

  • When: Sunday, November 12, 1:00 PM 

  • How to Watch: CBS, YouTube TV, NFL Network

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Michael Hanich

Sports Betting Analyst

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Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
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