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Subriel Matias vs. Dalton Smith: Betting Odds, Predictions, and Fight Preview

Published: January 9, 2026, 10:00 AM ET
5 min read
  • The WBC world super lightweight title is on the line here.

  • Puerto Rico takes on England in the United States.

  • Britain’s Smith brings an impressive 18-0-0 record.

It’s the opening weekend of 2026, and professional boxing fans have much to look forward to in the months ahead. The noble art starts as it means to go on, with a packed weekend schedule. The main attraction comes from the Barclays Centre in Brooklyn, when Subriel Matias faces Dalton Smith to decide the WBC world super lightweight title over 12 rounds.

The venue will be packed to capacity as Fresh Promotions presents a seven-fight card from a much-loved sporting arena. Matias is the big-punching champion from Puerto Rico, and he defends his strap against the unbeaten British fighter Smith. Will the Englishman upset the odds and return to Sheffield with the belt fastened tightly around his waist? Fans hope so.

Subriel Matias vs. Dalton Smith Odds

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WINNER ODDS
Subriel Matias -163
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Draw +1800
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Dalton Smith +138
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Subriel Matias vs Dalton Smith 2026 01 10

The odds featured in the betting table above come from the fight-winner market on the bet365 app and site. Prices are correct at the time of writing, but please remember that sportsbook odds can and often do change. If you’re looking for the highest price and most value, it often pays to make predictions and place your bets as early as possible.

What clues can we take from the current betting? It’s obvious that traders expect Matias to win and successfully defend his title. That’ll catch the attention of Smith’s army of fans and gamblers who enjoy going for the bigger price in boxing. Anything can happen in the fight game, with followers enjoying many upsets throughout the year.

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Matias Form and Figures

Subriel Matias is a 33-year-old fighter with a professional boxing record detailing 23 wins from 25 previous bouts. The man from Fajardo has claimed all but one of his victories inside the distance, overpowering 22 opponents for a 96% KO average. The only man to take Matias the distance was Alberto Puello back in summer at the Louis Armstrong Stadium.

Matias beat Puello on a majority decision to land the title and inflict the first defeat of his rival’s career. Following a tough match, the scorecards read 114-114, 115-113, and 115-113 again in Subriel’s favour. The win was deserved, but it was also a little too close for comfort, meaning Matias will be eager to return to his knockout form, dealing with Smith early.

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Smith Form and Figures

Dalton Smith travels from Yorkshire to Brooklyn with a professional boxing CV showing 18 wins from as many starts, with 13 coming by stoppage. The 28-year-old enters as the number-two-ranked fighter in the UK behind Adam Azim, and seventh in the world behind headliners Teofimo Lopez, this weekend’s opponent, and Richardson Hitchins.

Smith knows he’s up against it here, but appreciates what a win on American soil would do for his career. Victory would catapult him up the pecking order towards the top names mentioned, paving the way for a unification bout before the summer months. Dalton knows that if he wishes to dominate, pulling off an away win over Matias is essential. 

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Matias vs. Smith Prediction

We’ve arrived at the most important section of my Matias vs Smith article, the final big-fight predictions. Having studied the form, read the reports and checked the latest betting odds, I’m ready to pick sides, and we’re following the traders. Matias is the current champion, betting favourite, and our pick to successfully defend his prize on the big stage.

With the champion’s previous bout going 12 rounds and troubling the scoring judges sat at ringside, we aim for more of the same. When checking the method of victory market available at bet356, you’ll see the price for Matias to win on points. We’re happy to take that, and you can follow as a single or add Matias on points to your fight-night accumulators.

The champion’s last outing was decided over 12 rounds. The challenger also went to points last time, defeating Mathieu Germain on a unanimous decision in Sheffield. Neither fighter will be in a rush to force the pace and risk making mistakes, meaning a long night is expected.

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How to Watch Matias vs. Smith

  • Location: Barclays Centre, Brooklyn, USA.

  • Date: Saturday, January 10

  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

  • Streaming: Live on DAZN

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Frank Monkhouse WSN Contributors

Frank Monkhouse

Boxing Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Boxing
Betting Picks
Former professional boxer at the world-famous TRAD TKO Gym in London, I am now a full-time freelance content writer, pundit, and podcast contributor working with some of the biggest names in the sports betting industry. I love boxing, football's most successful team Glasgow Rangers, and horse racing.
Email: frank.monkhouse@wsn.com
Nationality: British
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
Experience: 9 years
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