NFL Offensive Player of the Year Predictions & Odds 2024: Preseason Favorites

• Tyreek Hill and Christian McCaffrey were neck and neck for Offensive Player of the Year honors throughout the 2023 season with McCaffrey ultimately winning the award.

• Non-quarterbacks have won OPOTY every year since Patrick Mahomes won the award in 2018.

• Peyton Manning in 2013 was the last player to win multiple Offensive Player of the Year awards.

The Offensive Player of the Year award is one of the more unique awards in the NFL. It differs from the MVP and is largely considered the highest individual honor outside of winning MVP. Rather than worrying about the value a player brings or his team’s success, the award is typically given to a player who dominated on the field but was perhaps overlooked as an MVP candidate for one reason or another.

As the winner of the 2023 Offensive Player of the Year, it would make sense for Christian McCaffrey to open as the favorite to win the award again next season. However, with the NFL schedule out and the start of the season fast approaching, Tyreek Hill is a slight favorite over McCaffrey. After the two had a tight race for the award last year, this seems fitting. It’s also a sign that many bettors have favored Hill more than McCaffrey in offseason betting. However, CeeDee Lamb, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Jefferson are not to be overlooked either.

Once the 2024 season begins, we’ll be tracking the favorites for this award closely. However, there’s no harm in taking an early look at who the top contenders are likely to be. Make sure you keep checking back to see how the odds change throughout the year and get our current pick for 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to place your beys at Fanduel: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets. Check out our list of top-rated NFL betting sites for more betting opportunities.

Favorites to Win AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year

Before making a bet on Offensive Player of the Year, it’s important to take a close look at some of the leading favorites and where they currently stand.

Tyreek Hill - Wide Receiver, Miami Dolphins (+800 at FanDuel)

For much of the 2023 season, Hill was on pace to eclipse 2,000 receiving yards and set the new single-season record. Unfortunately, an injury late in the season held him back enough to keep Calvin Johnson’s record intact. Nevertheless, Hill led the NFL in both receiving and receiving touchdowns in 2023. If not for that injury, he may have beaten out McCaffrey for OPOTY, putting him on the radar to win the award in 2024. Coming off back-to-back seasons with over 1,700 receiving yards, Hill remains the NFL’s premier wide receiver. The only caveat is that he’s 30, so at what point does he start to lose some of the blazing speed that’s made him a star.

Bet on Tyreek Hill (+800) at FanDuel 

Christian McCaffrey - Running Back, San Francisco 49ers (+900 at FanDuel)

Despite being the reigning Offensive Player of the Year, McCaffrey isn’t the favorite heading into 2024. But that has more to do with Hill being popular than a knock against McCaffrey. After dealing with injuries for a couple of seasons, he’s back to being the premier running back in the NFL and arguably the best non-quarterback in the league. He plays for a team that’s going to give him plenty of touches and every opportunity to make a difference. It’s also worth noting that McCaffrey will still only be 28 during the 2024 season. While that is a little old for a running back, McCaffrey looks like a player in his prime right now and is coming off his best season. There is no reason to expect much of a drop-off, which is why he’s an obvious choice for OPOTY in 2024.

Bet on Christian McCaffrey (+900) at FanDuel 

CeeDee Lamb - Wide Receiver, Dallas Cowboys (+1000 at FanDuel)

After leading the NFL in receptions and going to his third straight Pro Bowl last season, there is no doubt that Lamb is among the elite wide receivers in the NFL. He had some monster games in 2023 and finished just 50 yards behind Hill for the league lead. Lamb has gotten noticeably better in each of his seasons in the NFL to the point where he is among the league’s elite playmakers. He’ll be 25 ahead of the 2024 season, meaning he’s likely to remain among the NFL’s best for years to come. Given his obvious chemistry with Dak Prescott, Lamb is another receiver who could potentially push for a 2,000 yard season in 2024 and become an obvious candidate for Offensive Player of the Year.

Bet on CeeDee Lamb (+1000) at FanDuel 

Ja’Marr Chase - Wide Receiver, Cincinnati Bengals (+1000 at FanDuel)

It’s been easy to forget about Chase a little bit because he’s failed to match his rookie season over the past two seasons. But there’s no doubt that he’s as talented as any wide receiver in the league. Plus, don’t forget that Joe Burrow got hurt last season. That didn’t help Chase, even though he still finished the season with 100 catches and over 1,200 receiving yards. Obviously, Burrow staying healthy is key to Chase’s production. If the Bengals can keep both players healthy in 2024, the 24-year-old Chase will be poised for his best season and a serious run at Offensive Player of the Year honors.

Bet on Ja’Marr Chase (+1000) at FanDuel 

Justin Jefferson - Wide Receiver, Minnesota Vikings (+1000 at FanDuel)

Jefferson’s odds have taken a huge hit from early in the offseason when he was +650 to win OPOTY. With Kirk Cousins leaving Minnesota and being replaced with rookie J.J. McCarthy, Jefferson’s odds have dropped to +1400. Jefferson is arguably the most talented wide receiver in the NFL. But without a proven quarterback, his numbers could take a hit. Keep in mind a hamstring injury sidelined him for two months last year, creating even more doubt about the kind of season he might have in 2024. Yet, he’s still an interesting candidate if he can develop chemistry with McCarthy quickly.

Bet on Justin Jefferson (+1000) at FanDuel 

Bijan Robinson - Running Back, Atlanta Falcons (+2000)

It’s a little surprising to see Robinson this high in the pecking order. He was expected to run away with the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award last year but fell well short of expectations. But with a new coach and a veteran quarterback like Kirk Cousins running the show, Robinson is in a much better position to succeed in 2024. The Falcons should be able to use him more efficiently than they did a year ago, giving Robinson the touches to post huge numbers. Keep in mind that Atlanta has a strong offensive line, making Robinson an intriguing sleeper pick for Offensive Player of the Year.

Bet on Bijan Robinson (+2000) at FanDuel 

Saquon Barkley - Running Back, Philadelphia Eagles (+2000 at FanDuel)

Since he signed with the Eagles in March, Barkley has received a lot of interest in the OPOTY discussion. He’s now on a team where he isn’t the only serious playmaker, which should help him immensely. Even if Barkley’s touches are a little reduced, his productivity and efficiency could improve. Of course, his injury history is still somewhat of a concern. But if Barkley can stay healthy and fit in right away with the Philadelphia offense, he could end up having one of his best seasons and becoming a serious Offensive Player of the Year candidate.

Bet on Saquon Barkley (+2000) at FanDuel 

Who Will Win 2024 Offensive Player of the Year

My Pick - Ja’Marr Chase (+1000 at FanDuel)

It’s awfully tempting to take McCaffrey at +1000. He’s in the perfect situation because the 49ers are a safe bet to be among the NFC’s best teams. Plus, everyone knows they will ride McCaffrey as much as possible, so an injury is probably the only thing that could keep him from being a part of the OPOTY conversation. However, in a passing league, it’s best to get behind a wide receiver, as a player at that position has won three times in the last five years. The question is how to separate Hill, Jefferson, Lamb, and Chase. Hill’s age is a concern, Jefferson may not have his best season if Cousins isn’t back in Minnesota. Lamb, meanwhile, could have potentially peaked. However, Chase might have the highest ceiling of the bunch if he and Burrow can both stay healthy. Given his value at +1000, Chase is our preseason pick for Offensive Player of the Year in 2024.

Bet on Ja’Marr Chase (+1000) at FanDuel 

Who Won the AP Offensive Player of the Year in 2023?

Christian McCaffrey won the 2023 AP Offensive Player of the Year award. Tyreek Hill finished second and CeeDee Lamb third with Lamar Jackson and Dak Prescott rounding out the top-five. It was McCaffrey’s first time winning the award, and it was well deserved. He led the NFL in rushing yards, total yards from scrimmage, and total touchdowns by scoring 14 rushing and seven receiving touchdowns during the regular season.

AP Offensive Player of the Year History

The first AP Offensive Player of the Year honor was awarded in 1972 to running back Larry Brown of the team now known as the Washington Commanders. 17 of the last 26 players to win the OPOTY have been non-quarterbacks, including the last four. 

The only positions to win the Offensive Player of the Year award are quarterbacks, running backs, and tight ends. That means no offensive linemen, fullbacks, or tight ends has ever won the award.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NFL Offensive Player of the Year

Before you can make a winning bet for Offensive Player of the Year, you must first find the best sportsbook. Many bettors forget this stop, which can be a mistake. Various sportsbooks may have different odds, different promos, and different features, so you have to do your research. 

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How to Read NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Unless there is a heavy favorite, every Offensive Player of the Year candidate will have plus (+) odds listed next to their name. This means that you will profit more than you bet if your choice wins OPOTY. For instance, if you bet $100 on a player with +400 odds, the profit will be $400. In rare cases, a heavy favorite will have negative (-) odds. For example, if a player has -200 odds, you will have to bet $200 in order to make a profit of $100.