Image for Mike Lukas Mike Lukas - November 10, 2022

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Predictions & Odds 2022/2023

  • Get the most recent odds for this year’s Offensive POY Award 
  • See our top predictions and picks for the season
  • View stats from past seasons to help give you an edge over the sportsbooks 

At the end of every NFL season, the Associated Press (AP) gives out its prestigious Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY) Award to the offensive player who had the most impressive season.

While most professional football players are happier with team wins than individual accolades, the OPOY and the defensive version of it are two awards that every NFL player covets.

Here we further explain this esteemed award, plus we briefly analyze some of the men who oddsmakers have favored this season, the top five players who have the best chance at winning the AP OPOY award in 2022 / 23.

AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Odds taken  form DraftKings Sportsbook

Player Odds
Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams +700
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Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings +800
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Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills +1200
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Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns +1400
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Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts +1600
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Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs +2800
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Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders +2800
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Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers +3000
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Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers +3500
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Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans +5000
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Our Pick for 2022 Offensive Player of the Year

A healthy Henry will be hungry to get back on top and that will help the Titans thrive and him to earn this award again this season.

Derrick Henry (+5000)

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Nfl Offensive Player Of The Year Predictions

Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams

The odds on favorite here is last year’s winner, Rams star receiver Cooper Kupp (see below), a Super Bowl winner and its MVP who seems ready to have himself another fantastic season with a Rams team that he could help earn another championship, a rare two Lombardi’s in a row.

Few players have ever won consecutive OPOY awards, and the two who have gone on to win again for a third year, with Houston Oilers RB Earl Campbell winning in 1978, 1979, and 1980 and St. Louis Rams RB Marshall Faulk doing the same in 1999, 2000, and 2001.

Kupp’s 2021 has been called “one of the greatest statistical receiving seasons in NFL history,” so it might take another year like that for him to earn this award again, a possibility made more likely now that his QB is Matthew Stafford who has the arm and football IQ to get the job done.

Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts

When you check out Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor’s numbers from last season, it’s no wonder he didn’t earn the OPOY for his performance, leading the league in seven categories, including carries (332), rush yards (1,811), rush TDs (18), and longest run (83 yds).

Don’t forget his league-leading yards per game total (106.5), total yards from scrimmage (2,171), and total TDs (20), all impressive except his Colts never made the playoffs last year, so that may have kept him from earning the OPOY against a playoff bound Cooper Kupp.

One advantage Taylor might have this season over last is the addition to the roster of veteran QB Matt Ryan, the former Atlanta Falcon who is hoping to make another run at the postseason and will give the Colts rushing game a solid counterbalance with his well-oiled passing attack.

Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans

Third on the list here of potential OPOY candidates is Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry, the league’s leading rusher for two seasons in a row (2019, 2020) during which time he earned the OPOY award (2020) for helping his team earn their third playoff spot in the last four seasons.

Last year started out just as thunderous for Henry, and in eight games he average 4.3 yards per carry and rushed 219 times for 937 yards and 10 TDs, but then in Week 8 he suffered a Jones fracture that kept him sidelined for the rest of the regular season until the playoffs.

With Henry’s injury healed, his chances of excelling with the Titans again this season return, especially given his offense is in place with a scary pass game to distract defenses from his runs, including QB Ryan Tannehill’s new rookie target and first round pick Treylon Burks.

Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Where Deebo Samuel gets interesting is when the wide receiver transforms into a running back and becomes impossible to tackle due to his speed and relative size, this San Francisco 49ers playmaker who is reinventing how his position(s) should be played, a definite dual threat.

He is 26-years old, stands six-feet tall, weighs 215 pounds and runs the 40-yard dash in 4.42 seconds, a former South Carolina player now in his fourth NFL season who led the league last year in average yards per reception (18.2) on his way to a 1,405 reception yard season.

Samuel scored 4 total touchdowns and earned 365 yards on the ground, befuddling defensive game plans all season, and this year regardless of who HC Kyle Shanahan starts under center – Trey Lance or Jimmy Garoppolo – you can count on Samuel to be a huge part of that offense.

Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders

For the last 8 seasons, wide receiver Davante Adams wore a Green Bay Packers uniform as he became QB Aaron Rodgers primary target and arguably the best at his position in the league, but now Adams is donning the black and silver as he plays for the Vegas Raiders in 2022.

Adams could earn the OPOY award if he helps the Raiders to get back to the playoffs for the second time since 2002 when they lost the Super Bowl, now with QB Derek Carr tossing the balls and targets Hunter Renfrow and TE Darren Waller as legitimate counter punches.

Few receivers run routes better than Adams, the 29-year old 6’ 1” 215 pound veteran who is a 2x First-team All-Pro and 5x Pro Bowl player who will have all eyes on him now that he is in Vegas, his new five-year, $141.25M deal a great motivator for him to earn this coveted award.

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NFL Offensive Player of the Year FAQ

What Exactly is the AP Offensive Player of the Year Award?

For the past 46 years, the Associated Press (AP) has given out its esteemed Offensive Player of the Year Award to the NFL player on offense they feel had the most outstanding season, voted on by a nationwide panel of sportswriters.Many of the former recipients of the award were coming off a record-breaking (or close to it) season or else helped lead their team to a Super Bowl appearance or victory.The first OPOY award was given in 1972 to Larry Brown, the running back who played for the Washington Redskins and ran for a career-high number of yards (1,216) and 8 touchdowns while catching 32 balls for 473 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Who Won the Award in 2021?

The winner of the 2021 AP Offensive Player of the Year Award was Cooper Kupp, the Los Angeles Rams wide receiver who played an integral part in his team’s pursuit and eventual attainment of the highly coveted Lombardi Trophy by winning Super Bowl LVI.When you take a look at Kupp’s 2021 regular season numbers, it’s no wonder he was given these OPOY honors, leading the league in four categories, including receptions (145), receiving yards (1,947), receiving touchdowns (16), and receiving yards per game (114.5).Kupp is now 28 years old and the former East Washington receiver has decent size for his position at 6’ 2” and 208 pounds, also a First-team All-Pro and a Pro Bowl player in 2019, a fantastic year for a playmaker who has only suited up for the Rams in the NFL.This year, Kupp is the favorite to win, but typically Super Bowl winners tend to struggle the following season, but regardless keep an eye on this kid from Yakima, Washington, the grandson of former NFL lineman Jake Kupp and son of former NFL quarterback Craig Kupp.

What Position Does the Award Winner Typically Play?

In the history of the OPOY award, every winner has been either a running back or a quarterback, with the exception of three incredible players.The first is San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Jerry Rice, who has won the award twice, the first one in 1987 and the second one in 1993.The second is Michael Thomas, the New Orleans Saints wide receiver who took home the award in 2019, only the second WR to ever be honored this way but not the last.The third is Cooper Kupp, the Los Angeles Rams WR who won the award last season.Of the 49 years that the AP OPOY award has been given out, there have been twenty-six running back winners, twenty quarterbacks and now three receivers to take the prize.

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AUTHOR

Mike Lukas

1130 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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