Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Prediction: Opening Leg of the Apertura Final

• Tigres UANL got past Cruz Azul 2-2 on aggregate in the semifinals, advancing due to finishing the regular season as the higher seed 

• Toluca will attempt to become champions in consecutive seasons for the first time in more than 57 years 

Thursday evening, the first leg of the 2025 Apertura championship final will take place at the Estadio Universitario, with Tigres hosting Toluca. During the regular season, La U de Nuevo León prevailed in a 4-3 victory on the road back on July 26. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Tigres UANL vs. Toluca.

Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Betting Odds for Thursday, December 11

The books suggest both adversaries will feature on the scoreboard with the displayed odds. Both teams' scoring is assessed at -175, while the pair failing to do so is deemed at +125.

Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Odds

The odds for Tigres UANL vs. Toluca odds can be found in the odds table below, courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook. Create an account using bet365 promo code WSN365 and claim the welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose. Read more about this promo in our bet365 Sportsbook review.

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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca Betting Prediction

Tigres UANL Preview

Scraping by the skin of their teeth, Guido Pizarro’s men advanced to the 2025 Apertura final, making their first title appearance since they won it all during the 2023 Clausura. Over the two-game semifinal, Tigres edged out Cruz Azul, all square at 2-2 on aggregate, due to the second-seeded club finishing higher in the regular season they were able to keep the campaign alive.

Juan Brunetta found the back of the net in the 27th minute to give his side the massive advantage. Up until stoppage time, when the hosts conceded an own goal, Tigres sat back and absorbed the pressure Cruz Azul was putting on them, which proved to be a successful game plan. The hero on Saturday was the play of Nahuel Guzman between the sticks. The 28-year-old made six total saves, none more important than his stop in the 71st minute, coming up clutch to stop a shot from the penalty spot.

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Toluca Preview

Toluca looked to be on the ropes after the first leg, down a goal heading into the crucial second match against C.F. Monterrey. The defending champions jumped out to a dominant three-goal lead before the hour mark, but after a blistering start, the cracks in their defence appeared. The Rayados turned up the pressure and made things interesting, but ultimately just fell short as they couldn’t buy a third goal. Similar to Tigres, Antonio Mohamed’s men progressed through thanks to finishing the campaign amassing more points. 

The juggernaut Toluca are; they saw goal contributions from their leading men up front, Paulinho and Helinho. Liga MX’s golden boot winner tallied his second goal of the playoffs to give his side a two-goal upper hand before the break. Helinho's successful attempt from the spot kick area on Saturday was just his second goal across all competitions since mid-July. The duo combined for eight total shots over two clashes against C.F. Monterrey; look for them to be active on Thursday.

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Tigres UANL vs. Toluca - My Pick

• Tigres UANL vs. Toluca pick: Both teams to score yes (-175) at bet365

Thursday’s opening title match could see both opponents get into the scorers' sheet,  based on how the playoffs have shaped out and their head-to-head encounters. Five straight meetings at the Estadio Universitario, this matchup has materialized with both sets of keepers being breached. All four semifinal clashes this postseason saw three of them resulting in both teams scoring, showing that even in the highest of stakes, the defence is still slipping up.

Tigres can’t afford to go goalless in this fixture, with the return leg on the road, a scoreless aggregate would severely hamper their chances at a title. We feel that, with Tigres needing at least a tally, this should open up the pitch and give both clubs opportunities to score against each other.

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How to Watch Tigres UANL vs. Toluca

• When: December 11, 9 pm ET 

• Where: Estadio Universitario

• TV: Univision Networks (Univision, UniMás, TUDN), DirecTV Stream, ViX, Fubo