Toluca vs. Club Necaxa Prediction: Red Devils Kick off Title Defence

• Reigning league champions, Toluca, won their first Liga MX title since 2010

• Club Necaxa finished the previous term in fifth place, registering 10 victories 

Saturday launches the opening Apertura weekend in Liga MX, with Club Necaxa travelling to Estadio Nemesio Díez to clash against the defending league winners, Toluca. During the 2025 Clausura, the Red Devils picked apart Club Necaxa in their only meeting, as Toluca won convincingly, 5-2. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Toluca vs. Club Necaxa.

Toluca vs. Club Necaxa Betting Odds for Saturday, July 12

The books sense the hosts will secure a maximum result with the odds provided for Saturday’s skirmish. Toluca is priced at -154 in the moneyline 3-way market while Club Necaxa is listed at +375 to pull off the upset. If both clubs are level after the full-time whistle, the draw is pencilled in at +300.

Toluca vs. Club Necaxa Odds

The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Toluca vs. Club Necaxa Betting Prediction

Toluca Preview

Antonio Mohamed and his men seek to claim back-to-back titles for the first time in the club's rich history. The 2025 Clausura campaign saw Toluca run through their opponents, only suffering two setbacks during the regular season. They lit up the scoreboard, scoring a league-high 41 goals. 

Recently, coming off a CONCACAF Gold Cup win with his home nation of Mexico, Alexis Vega displayed that he is one of the brightest stars currently for El Tri. The primary winger had a superb campaign with Toluca in the previous season, amassing 13 goals and 11 assists in 23 outings throughout the regular season and playoffs. Watch for Vega to be the focal point on attack on this potent offence in the 2025 Apertura campaign.

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Club Necaxa Preview

Fernando Gago, the new man in charge of Los Rayos, was appointed on June 12. He is looking to take this club to greater heights and build upon its solid foundation. Last season's playoff phase saw Club Necaxa exit in the quarterfinals, losing to Tigres UNAL by a 2-0 aggregate over two legs. 

Finishing fifth in the 2025 Clausura Golden-Boot race, Diber Cambindo and his team hope he can replicate his performances from the previous tournament. The lethal striker found the back of the net on 11 occasions in 1084 minutes played. The two-time nationally capped Colombian player was a menace for the opposing keeper, averaging 2.9 shots per game. He could be busy once again this Saturday aiming to get on the scoresheet.

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Toluca vs. Club Necaxa - My Pick

• Toluca vs. Club Necaxa pick: Toluca moneyline 3-way (-154) at bet365

The Red Devils should be able to retain the dominant form we saw in the Clausura and demonstrate it once again in this opening week. Toluca has had sufficient achievements over Club Necaxa when playing in front of their home faithful, obtaining seven wins in their previous 12 meetings. On attack, Toluca has preserved most of their key central figures, the same group that racked up the goals. We sense that they can exploit Club Necaxa’s backline on Saturday. With Paulinho winning the scoring race with 14 tallies during the previous season and his teammate Alexis Vega finishing one goal behind, this dynamic duo should be able to lead the hosts into the win column on Saturday.

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How to Watch Toluca vs. Club Necaxa

• When: July 12, 9 p.m. ET

• Where: Estadio Nemesio Díez 

• TV: Univision Networks (Univision, UniMas, TUDN), ViX+