Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Prediction: Red Devils in Prime Position To Reach Finals for First Time Since 2022

• Toluca are 90 minutes away from seeking their first finals appearance since the 2022 Apertura Final

• Tigres UANL will need to halt their five-game winless run if they wish to reach the final phase

Saturday evening, the second leg of this semi final encounter will take place at Estadio Nemesio Díez, the home ground for Toluca. The first leg saw these two sides play to a 1-1 draw at the Estadio Universitario on Wednesday evening. 

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Toluca vs. Tigres UANL.

Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Betting Odds for Saturday, May 17

The moneyline 3-way market has the hosts listed as the favourites with the manufactured odds. Toluca are priced at +100 to win while Tigres are penned down at +290. If both clubs are level after regulation time the draw is tabulated at +230.

Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Odds

The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Toluca vs. Tigres UANL Betting Prediction

Toluca Preview

Finishing first overall during the 2025 Clausura campaign, Antonio Mohamed and Co. will have their sights set on advancing into the finals. During their 1-1 draw with Tigres, Toluca were the more ambitious side, finishing with 15 shots versus Tigres’ seven. 

The same script keeps occurring for Paulinho each time he graces the pitch. Possessing one of the hottest boots in Liga MX in 2025, the Portuguese striker scored a first-half stoppage-time goal to even the score. Between the regular season and playoffs spanning back to the previous term, Paulinho has amassed 27 goals in 37 outings. 

Also providing offence up top is attacking winger Alexis Vega. His Liga MX play in 2025 has seen him catalog 19 goal contributions, with nine of his assists leading the competition. The 27-year-old will be lively once again in this second leg affair, he could find his name on the scorers’ sheet also. 

Get $150 in Bonus Bets When Betting $5 at bet365

Tigres UANL Preview

Incredibly, Guido Pizarro’s men are 90 minutes away from reaching a final without manufacturing a win in the playoffs up to this stage. On Wednesday, Tigres didn’t look like they wanted to push forward playing for the win as they concluded the first leg with an xG of 0.74

Preserving the draw in the first clash of the semifinals, Nahuel Guzman was voted the Player of the Match. The netminder finished with six saves, now bringing his postseason save total to 19 which he has done in his three starts. When the 39-year-old keeper hangs up his gloves, he will be known as a club legend. Guzman has been with the club since the 2014-15 season, starting in over 500 matches across all competitions, winning five league titles along the way. 

Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at bet365 With a $5 Wager

Toluca vs. Tigres UANL - My Pick

• Toluca vs. Tigres UANL pick: Toluca moneyline 3-way (+100) at bet365

We feel on Saturday, the club that finished first overall has what it takes to get past Tigres UANL to advance to the final. During the regular season, Tigres only managed to secure two road wins. On the other hand, when Toluca performs at the Estadio Nemesio Díez, they have yet to finish with no points, grabbing six wins in eight home tilts in 2025. The advantage points towards Toluca with their superb home record and defence, only conceding 10 goals in nine home dates between the regular season and playoff phase.

Bet $5 at bet365 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets

How to Watch Toluca vs. Tigres UANL

• When: May 17, 9 p.m. ET

• Where: Estadio Nemesio Díez

• TV: FOX Deportes, Univision, UniMas, Telemundo, Universo, TUDN, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ and Vix+