NBA Player Props and Best Bets for May 3: Jokic vs Leonard and a Game 7 SGP!

There’s one game on the NBA’s Saturday night schedule, where Nikola Jokic’s Denver Nuggets host Kawhi Leonard’s LA Clippers in a do-or-die match to reach the second round. At Fanduel, you can place a $5 bet and win $200 in Bonus Bets if your wager wins! At WSN, we’re locked in on the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!

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Game 7 of the LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets first round series tips off on Saturday night! After winning Game 6 on their home court, James Harden’s LA Clippers have one last shot at upsetting the former NBA Champions. The Denver Nuggets are in the driver’s seat though, as Nikola Jokic has been brilliant all series and aims to keep his team’s championship dreams alive–Game 7 tips off at 7:30 PM EST at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado!

Let’s check out the bets!

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Best NBA Player Props: LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets (7:30 PM EST) on TNT

James Harden Points Over 21.5 (-102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

James Harden is yet to live up to his Game 1 performance against the Nuggets, but he came close in the Clippers’ Game 6 win. He’ll act as the playmaking hub for LA on Saturday night, and he’s shown signs of renewed ambition on the offensive side of the ball.

In six games this series, Harden is averaging 20.7 points, 8.5 assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 2.5 threes per game on 45.2% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range. In Game 6, Harden put up 28 points, eight assists, six rebounds, and three made threes on 50.0% shooting.

Harden has leaned into his playmaking side this series but has still scored over 21.5 points in two of six games. He played 46 minutes in Game 6 to keep the Clippers competitive, so expect Harden to log heavy minutes in an elimination game while engaging his shooting skills in hopes of victory.

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Aaron Gordon Rebounds Over 5.5 (+102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Aaron Gordon has been a mainstay in the Denver Nuggets’ success this series, contributing on both ends of the court. Not known as a dominant rebounder, he’s been more than capable of complementing Nikola Jokic on the glass. 

Gordon has been a consistent force this postseason, averaging 18.3 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 1.2 threes per game on 50.6% shooting from the field and 33.3% from the three-point range. He was productive in their Game 6 loss, putting up 19 points, five rebounds, and one made three on 56.3% shooting.

Gordon’s rebounding dropped off in his last two games, but he still collected over 5.5 boards in four games this series. Expect Gordon to occupy the court for as long as possible, giving him plenty of time to stay on the glass on top of his already heavy burden on the boards.

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Michael Porter Jr. Points Over 10.5 (+102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It’s no secret that Michael Porter Jr. has struggled this postseason, and with Game 7 on the line, the Nuggets will work to get him involved in the offense. He’s coming off his worst performance since Game 1, but Porter Jr.’s threat from range is something that the Nuggets or Clippers can’t ignore.

In six games this postseason, Porter Jr. is averaging 10.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 2.0 threes per game on 44.0% from the field and 46.2% from three-point range. In his last performance, a Game 6 loss, Porter Jr. contributed five points, three rebounds, two steals, and one made three in 24 minutes–the least playtime he’s received all series.

Porter Jr. is a sharpshooter and able rebounder, scoring over 10.5 points in three games this series by a +4.3 points margin. He’s shown the ability to perform, though inconsistently, so count on Porter Jr. not to hold back with the series on the line.

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Russell Westbrook Assists Over 3.5 (+130) at FanDuel Sportsbook

As the Denver Nuggets' series has worn on, Russell Westbrook has been relied upon more by interim head coach David Adelman. After a vintage performance in Game 6, count on Westbrook to be on the court as much as possible in an elimination game.

Westbrook has had an up-and-down series but has been solid overall. He's averaging 13.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 2.2 threes per game on 41.4% from the field and 40.7% from three-point range. He's coming off his best all-around showing of the series, putting up 14 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, and three made threes on 50.0% shooting.

Playmaking hasn't been central to Westbrook's focus this series, and he has collected over 3.5 assists just once. Fortunately, it was in Westbrook's last game. To drive the offense, the Nuggets sixth man has been focused on pushing the ball in transition–expect more of the same on Saturday night.

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Best Same Game Parlay: LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets (7:30 PM EST) (+859)

• Nikola Jokic to Score 25+ Points (-225): Jokic scored 25+ points in four of six games this series. He's an all-around contributor but has been Denver's top scorer this series.

• Kawhi Leonard to Score 25+ Points (-146): Leonard continues to show why his absence during the regular season is worth the wait. He is nearly unstoppable on both ends of the court, and no Nuggets defender has been able to limit him, as he's averaging 25.5 and shooting 51.3% this series. 

• James Harden to Score 25+ Points (-196): Thought of as a playmaker these days, Harden has shown he's more than capable of taking on scoring duties. The Clippers' role players have been inconsistent, and with the series on the line, we expect Harden and Leonard to lead the way.

• Norman Powell Made Threes Under 2.5 (-154): Powell is a capable shooter, but he's shown a willingness to change his game to improve his efficiency as the series has worn on. He's shot 33.3% or less from deep in half the games this series, and Denver's willingness to close down the arc should cause Powell issues one last time.

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