NBA Player Props and Best Bets for May 18: Nuggets, Thunder in Epic Game 7 Clash

There’s one NBA Playoff game on Sunday afternoon, and it’s big! Game 7 between the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder will decide the final contender in the Western Conference Finals. At Fanduel, you can place a $5 bet and win $200 in Bonus Bets if your wager wins! At WSN, we’re locked in on the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!

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As the Denver Nuggets take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a decisive Game 7, there's plenty of value in the player prop market—making this matchup a prime opportunity for a Same Game Parlay. Nikola Jokic continues to be the offensive engine for Denver, and his playmaking ability is in the spotlight. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's three-point shooting will be the focus on the Thunder side. Michael Porter Jr. brings size and athleticism to the glass, but his nagging injury creates questions about his rebound line. Lastly, Luguentz Dort's recent scoring surge gives his points a total serious upside. Don't forget to check out our Same Game Parlay!

Let’s check out the bets!

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Best NBA Player Props: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder (3:30 PM EST) on ABC

Nikola Jokic Assists Over 8.5 (+112) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Despite being the Nuggets’ primary playmaker, Nikola Jokic’s assist total has taken a backseat this series. As the Thunder try to shut down his support, expect Jokic to capitalize on an aggressive offensive game in a win-or-go-home matchup.

In 23 games this postseason, Jokic is averaging 26.7 points, 13.0 rebounds, 8.1 assists, and 2.0 threes per game on 48.6% from the field and 37.7% from three-point range. In his last game, a Game 6 win, Jokic put up 29 points, 14 rebounds, and eight assists on 64.3% shooting.

Jokic has collected over 8.5 assists in four of his 13 games this postseason. He’s coming off his best assist game of the series, and the recent finishing improvements by his teammates will only help his assist totals and open up his offense even further.

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made Threes Under 1.5 (+118) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Despite being one of the NBA’s top scorers, three-point shooting might be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s weakest offensive quality. When he takes on the Nuggets in Game 7, expect Gilgeous-Alexander to double down on his ability to get to the rim, mid-range, and free-throw line to reach the Conference Finals!

In ten games this postseason, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.4 points, 6.6 assists, 6.2 rebounds, and 1.4 threes per game on 46.4% from the field and 25.9% from three-point range. In his last game, a Game 6 loss, Gilgeous-Alexander put up 32 points, six assists, three rebounds, and two made threes on 68.8% shooting.

Gilgeous-Alexander contributes from three on volume rather than efficiency, hitting over 1.5 threes in just two games this series on 26 total attempts. I don’t see Gilgeous-Alexander setting the game on fire from three-point range, as he’s simply too reliable from other areas to lean on his three-point shooting in a crucial Game 7.

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Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Under 5.5 (+112) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Michael Porter Jr. has struggled with injury throughout this postseason, as shown through his play. It’s a win-or-go-home match on Sunday afternoon, so expect head coach David Adelman to lean on Porter Jr. so long as he takes the court.

In 13 games this postseason, Porter Jr. averaged 9.4 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 1.8 threes per game on 39.3% from the field and 36.4% from the three-point range. In his last game, a Game 6 victory, Porter Jr. contributed 10 points, four rebounds, and two made threes on 44.4% shooting.

Porter Jr. is usually a solid rebounder, but his recent form has seen him collect under 5.5 rebounds in four games this series. Aaron Gordon is also nursing an injury going into Sunday’s matchup, so don’t be surprised to see Porter Jr. take on an even larger role when Game 7 tips off.

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Luguentz Dort Points Over 9.5 (+100) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Thunder guard Luguentz Dort is known as a defensive stopper, and his offensive contributions are a bonus. He’s done a great job limiting the Nuggets’ wing players this series, but his recent scoring uptick is encouraging going into Game 6.

In ten games this postseason, Dort is averaging 8.3 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.0 threes per game on 33.3% from the field and 28.6% from three-point range. In his last match, a Game 6 loss, Dort contributed 10 points, two rebounds, and two made threes on 44.4% shooting.

Dort will play heavy minutes in Game 6 as the Thunder try to earn a spot in the Conference Finals. He’s scored over 9.5 points in four of six games this series, so count on the Canadian stopper to capitalize on his opportunities in the biggest game of the Thunder’s season.

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Best Same Game Parlay: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder (3:30 PM EST) (+735)

• Nikola Jokic to Score 30+ Points (-115): Relative to usual, Jokic has had a subdued series in the scoring department. There’s nothing for the Nuggets after Sunday if they lose, so expect Jokic to return to a high-volume scoring strategy.

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to Score 30+ Points (-162): It’s do or die for the Canadian star man, who aims to lead his team to the Conference Finals. Scoring 30+ in four of six games this series, expect Gilgeous-Alexander to leave it all on the court on Sunday afternoon.

• Russell Westbrook to Record 4+ Assists (-113): The Nuggets are at their best when Westbrook pushes the pace off the bench. His minutes have decreased as the series continues due to his poor shooting, but expect the Nuggets to lean on his experience to reach the Conference Finals.

• Alex Caruso 2+ Made Threes (-128): Caruso has been a vital contributor for the Thunder in this series. While his defense takes headlines, he’s proven capable of getting hot from three-point range–hitting 2+ threes in five of six appearances this series.

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