Looking for the best player props in the NBA on Thursday? You’ve come to the right place, as I’ve assembled my five favorite prop picks for the evening action.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Oklahoma City Thunder to yet another blowout win against the Los Angeles Lakers last night, while Stephen Curry’s 46 points helped overcome Victor Wembanyama’s 31 points, 15 rebounds, and 10 assists in a 125-120 victory.
There are only three games on Thursday, but that doesn’t mean that there aren’t still plenty of opportunities for fans of NBA betting.
Let’s dive in and take a closer look at my top five NBA player prop bets for Thursday, Nov. 13.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | Odds | Claim $150 in Bonuses at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell under 3.5 threes | +102 | CLAIM HERE |
| Brandon Ingram over 19.5 points | -130 | CLAIM HERE |
| Devin Booker under 1.5 threes | +132 | CLAIM HERE |
| Ryan Dunn over 4.5 rebounds | +114 | CLAIM HERE |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 3.5 assists | +120 | CLAIM HERE |
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Mitchell has taken an extraordinary amount of threes in recent weeks, putting up 16 during his last time on the court and an average of 12.8 per game during November. That makes it even more impressive he shot 40.4 percent from downtown for the year, going over in six of 10 games.
While those numbers reflect positively on Mitchell’s chances to make at least four triples on Thursday, there are two glaring issues: the Toronto Raptors are fifth in made threes allowed per game and lead the league in three-point percentage allowed (just 28.6 percent). They kept Tyrese Maxey, a similar player to Mitchell, to 3-10 three-point shooting when they played a few days ago, and I believe they can do the same to the Cavs’ frontman.
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The 28-year-old forward averaged 21.4 points per game, scored 25 points his last time on the court, and went over this line in six of his last seven contests. That puts him in about as good of a spot as he can be, regardless of the opponent on the other side of the court.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 12th in defensive rating, yet they’re also 25th in points allowed per game due to their rapid pace of play. The Raptors are ninth in pace of play themselves, meaning there should be lots of possessions and scoring opportunities for Ingram and company.
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Booker is a purist at heart, meaning that he’d take mid-range pull-ups all day if he could remove himself from the analytics era of basketball. He made 2.1 threes per game on 37.9 percent shooting from downtown, but he also did not make a three-pointer or take more than three attempts in any of his last three games.
The Pacers rank seventh in three-point percentage allowed (32.7) and have nice defensive options for Booker in the form of Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith. Booker split the over/under at six games apiece, and the value of this line is too enticing for me to ignore.
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This is the perfect kind of game for a wing player on the Suns to rack up lots of rebounds, and Dunn stands out as a prime candidate. Although he had exactly four rebounds in three straight games, he still went over in seven of 12 games while averaging 5.3 boards per contest.
The Pacers slowed down their pace slightly in recent games, but they still rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game and do not have a tall lineup or a dominant interior rebounder. They're also dead last in offensive rating, meaning that they struggle to create and convert open looks, leading to more rebounding opportunities for their opponent.
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Alexander-Walker dished out four assists in just 22 minutes in his last game. He’s pretty consistently gotten to, but not above, three assists, but he also has an intriguing matchup against a Utah Jazz team that is not exactly known for its defense.
The Jazz are 24th in defensive rating, which someone overrules the fact that they are only 14th in assists allowed per game. Alexander-Walker should also play at least 30 minutes as long as this game isn’t a blowout, and the Jazz will need to show help to their backcourt, who aren’t great on-ball defenders.
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