NBA Player Props and Best Bets: Jalen Johnson & More Picks for Thursday, Nov. 20

The NBA is back in full swing on Thursday evening, and I’ve picked my best player props from all around the league.

Rookie center Derik Queen went for a career-high 30 points, nine rebounds, four assists, two steals, and two blocks in the New Orleans Pelicans’ hard-fought loss against the Denver Nuggets. Kon Kneuppel also continued his stellar rookie campaign with 28 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists, but it was the Indiana Pacers who got their second win of the season over the Charlotte Hornets.

There are only four games on Thursday’s schedule, but that includes the Philadelphia 76ers visiting the Milwaukee Bucks and the Atlanta Hawks heading to face the San Antonio Spurs.

Without further ado, let’s jump into the best NBA player prop picks and bets for Thursday, Nov. 20.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday, November 20

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Bogdan Bogdanovic Over 11.5 Points (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Los Angeles Clippers are already running out of bodies, which I’m sure is something nobody expected from one of the oldest teams the NBA has seen! Kawhi Leonard is out for an unknown time, Bradley Beal is done for the season, and Chris Paul has been borderline unplayable according to coach Ty Lue’s minutes distribution.

With all of that, Bogdanovic has an opportunity to step into a larger scoring role, purely out of necessity. He only went over one time in his last four games, but his 33 minutes of action per night over the last three games indicate that he’ll get enough chances to cash the over.

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Domantas Sabonis Under 18.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Jarne Jackson Jr. might not be the most dominant Defensive Player of the Year winner of all time, but for whatever reason, Sabonis seems to struggle when he encounters him and the Memphis Grizzlies. The Sacramento Kings’ big man went under this line in eight of 10 regular-season matchups with Memphis since the start of the 2022-23 campaign, including three straight last season.

Sabonis averaged 17.2 points per game on a poor 51 percent shooting. He also  went under in two of his last three and is on track to go under on Thursday night.

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Quentin Grimes Under 16.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

If a player had never done something before, would you willingly bet on them to accomplish that feat? That’s the situation with Grimes, who has not scored more than 16.5 points while sharing the court with Joel Embiid one time this season.

Philly’s backup guard went under in all five games in which he and Embiid both appeared. He’s coming off of back-to-back overs and has been efficient shooting the ball, but I’m concerned that there just won’t be enough touches available for him to get past this line.

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Myles Turner 3+ Threes (+134) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Turner split the over/under on this line in two of his last four matchups against Embiid, dating back to November 2023. He also sank four threes in Monday’s loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers and went over this line in three of his last four games, part of him making 2.4 threes per game on 43.4 percent long-range shooting.

The Philadelphia 76ers’ perimeter defense is totally average, and Embiid isn’t someone who will chase Turner onto the perimeter and close out on his shots. I think the Bucks’ big man will get a solid number of open looks, and he shot the ball well enough recently to cash this line for plus-money.

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Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Johnson and the Hawks get the privileged opportunity of facing the Spurs sans Victor Wembanyama, who is dealing with a calf strain. This is after he went over in four straight games while playing at least 39 minutes in three straight outings.

The Spurs have lots of long wings to throw at Johnson, but without their dominant interior deterrent, Johnson should cause havoc around the rim. He’s been terrific recently and has year-long shooting splits of 57/38/83, putting him on track to beat this line.

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