I haven’t missed a single NBA prop over the last two days, going 9-0 during that stretch, and I’m back to share my favorite bets for Saturday’s slate.
Anthony Edwards poured in 26 points and 12 rebounds as the Minnesota Timberwolves handed the Oklahoma City Thunder their second loss in three games, denting their chances at the single-season wins record. Derrick White also had 33 points, six assists, and four blocks as the Boston Celtics took down the Miami Heat at home.
Today’s lineup is headlined by a standout matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets, as well as the Celtics visiting the Toronto Raptors.
Here are my top NBA player prop bets for Saturday.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | Odds | Get $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic over 11.5 rebounds | +102 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jaylen Brown under 29.5 points | -122 | CLAIM HERE |
| Cooper Flagg over 18.5 points | -108 | CLAIM HERE |
| LaMelo Ball under 2.5 threes | +110 | CLAIM HERE |
| James Harden over 3.5 threes | +130 | CLAIM HERE |
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It feels like it’s never a bad time to bet the over on rebounds with Jokic, who leads the league with 12.3 rebounds per night. He also snatched 15 of them when the Nuggets played the Rockets five days ago, and he went over this line in two of his last three games.
Although Alperen Sengun was tremendous when these teams squared off recently, he has a history of (understandably) being dominated by his Serbian counterpart. The Nuggets are in their home arena and playing well, and I’ll trust the best player in the world to deliver.
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Brown is in the middle of one of the best scoring stretches of his NBA career, putting up 30+ points in all six games in December, shooting 52.3 percent from the field and 43.3 percent from three during that. He also scored 30 points when the Celtics took on the Raptors on Dec. 7.
As impressive as Brown has been not just recently, but this season, he’s entering superstar territory for his prop lines. I don’t think he’s quite in that tier of player, and getting to 30 points against a Raptors team that allowed the fourth-fewest points per game over their last 15 could prove to be fairly difficult.
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You can see it on his face that Flagg is getting more and more comfortable with life in the NBA. He’s only a few days removed from scoring a career-high 42 points and beat this line in four straight, as well as seven of his last eight games.
The Philadelphia 76ers aren’t anything special on defense, and Flagg should draw a favorable matchup with Paul George or Dominick Barlow as his primary defender. Flagg was drafted first overall for a reason, and he’s realizing that potential in real-time.
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When Ball is making his shots, he is truly unguardable. And unlike in years past, that means the Charlotte Hornets, who suddenly have a lot of talent, can be a terrific basketball team, evidenced by them making an all-time NBA record 19 first-half threes in Thursday’s win over the Atlanta Hawks.
The sad reality for Hornets fans is that Ball has been wildly inconsistent and inefficient as a shooter, putting up a career-worst 31.8 percent from downtown. He went under this line in 10 of his last 13 games, and the Pistons are an above-average team at defending the three-point line.
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The Los Angeles Lakers’ three-point defense is egregiously bad. Their point-of-attack defenders can’t stay in front of opposing ball-handlers, and their back-side defenders are often caught in rotation or forced to give help.
While the Lakers allowed a 39.7 three-point percentage over their last 15 contests, Harden drilled four threes in each of his last two games and went over in three of his last five. He made 3.6 threes per game on 37.6 percent shooting, and I like his chances against this defense.
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