NBA Player Props and Best Bets: James Harden, Jaylen Brown & More Picks for Monday, Jan. 19

There’s a full day of NBA action on Monday, and I prepared my best player prop picks for the games.

Deandre Ayton put up 25 points and 13 rebounds in the Los Angeles Lakers’ win over the Toronto Raptors last night, while Jabari Smith Jr. dropped 32 points and eight rebounds as the Houston Rockets took down the New Orleans Pelicans. 

Today’s games begin with the Milwaukee Bucks facing the Atlanta Hawks at 1:00 p.m. ET and will continue through midnight as the Miami Heat host the Golden State Warriors. 

Here are my top NBA player prop picks and bets for Monday, Jan. 19.

Best NBA Prop Bets for Monday, January 19

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Donovan Mitchell Under 3.5 Threes (+102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Mitchell went under this line in both matchups with the Oklahoma City Thunder last year, scoring just eight and 11 points in the process. He shot a career-high 39.1 percent on a career-high 10 attempts per game, but I still like the odds of him going under this line.

The Thunder were only 24th in made threes allowed per game and let their opponents shoot 37.8 percent from deep. However, they have terrific on-ball defenders and have been let down more by their weak-side defense, and since Mitchell dominates the ball, they shouldn’t have to worry about losing him in traffic.

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James Harden Over 3.5 Threes (-102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Harden is in the middle of a terrible three-point shooting stretch, only making 26.2 percent of his attempts in 2026 and going under in 11 of his last 12 games. However, he took 15 three-point attempts in his last game, proving he has the volume, he got two days of rest, and the Los Angeles Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard.

The Washington Wizards rank 25th in made threes allowed per game and 20th in three-point percentage conceded. Harden was only 2-9 when these teams played last Wednesday, but he’s simply a much better three-point shooter than he demonstrated during his recent streak. 

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Kyle Filipowski Under 13.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Filipowski had a 13-point, 12-rebound double-double in his last game, but he also went under this line in 12 of his last 13 games. He’ll have more opportunities to shoot the ball with Lauri Markkanen out with an illness, but I still think he will struggle to get over this line.

The San Antonio Spurs ranked sixth in points allowed per game over their last 15 contests and seventh for the season as a whole. They have constant interior defense with Victor Wembanyama and Luke Kornet, and he only scored six points on 28.6 percent shooting when these teams met on Dec. 27.

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Jaylen Brown Under 4.5 Assists (+102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Brown is having an excellent season, averaging 29.7 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game. He took 25.1 field goal attempts per game in January but only averaged 4.1 assists and went under this line in five of his last eight games, which makes me believe he will go under again.

The Boston Celtics’ leading man went over in two of three matchups with the Detroit Pistons, but the Pistons allowed the fewest assists per game. Brown also took at least 25 field goals in all three of their meetings, and his focus as a scorer, combined with the Pistons’ resilient defense, puts a lot of value on the under today.

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Kel’El Ware Over 7.5 Rebounds (-144) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Ware exchanged shots with his head coach, Erik Spoelstra, using the media as the middleman this week. With Spoelstra asking to see more production from him, and Ware saying he needs to play more minutes, there’s a chance that we see Ware get an increase in usage on Monday evening.

Ware went under in four straight before grabbing nine rebounds on Saturday, but he also played no more than 16 minutes in all of those games. He can also be highly productive and snatched 16 rebounds in only 19 minutes in his only previous matchup with the Warriors, who don’t have much size in their rotation.

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