Monday was an unforgettable day in the NBA, and with any luck, these player prop picks will help Tuesday be even better.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander played one of the best games of his career in a three-point win over the Denver Nuggets, going for 35 points, 15 assists, nine rebounds, and zero turnovers, while also making the game-winning three-point shot. Nikola Jokic had 32 points, 14 rebounds, and 13 assists in the loss.
Tonight’s schedule features a standout matchup between the Boston Celtics and the San Antonio Spurs, both of whom are second in their respective conferences and within three games of the leaders.
Here are my best NBA player prop picks and bets for Tuesday, March 10.
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| Best NBA Prop Bets Today | Odds | Get Up to $300 Back in Bonus Bets at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Trae Young Under 14.5 Points | -114 | CLAIM HERE |
| Victor Wembanyama Under 10.5 Rebounds | +102 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jarace Walker Under 17.5 Points | -125 | CLAIM HERE |
| Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 Rebounds | -114 | CLAIM HERE |
| Kon Kneuppel Under 4.5 Rebounds | +124 | CLAIM HERE |
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The Miami Heat had Young’s number during their back-and-forth battles in the Play-In Tournament, but this version of the Miami team—along with Young’s circumstances—is much different. They are less focused on length and defensive solidarity, and Young gets more free will to run the offense how he wants on a team that is devoid of expectations.
Young’s only appearance in a Washington Wizards uniform saw him go for 17 points in 18 minutes against the New Orleans Pelicans. With all of that said, he isn’t going to get many minutes, he is unlikely to shoot 66.7 percent from the field like he did against the Pelicans, and the Heat ranked 10th in points allowed per game over the last few weeks.
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Betting the under on Wemby’s rebounds can be a scary prospect, given that he’s 7-foot-4 and averaged 11.1 rebounds per game. However, he went under this line in three of his last four outings, and he only had six rebounds in his only previous matchup with the Boston Celtics.
The C’s ranked second in rebounds allowed per game over their last 15 outings, and they should be even better on the boards with Jayson Tatum back in the lineup. Boston also plays at a slow pace and takes a ton of threes, which favors long rebounds away from the basket.
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The Indiana Pacers are a mess, and they are going to be without the majority of their important players, who are all suffering from injuries. Despite that, it’s hard to buy into Walker beating this number when he cashed the under in five of his last six games and averaged 11.0 points per contest.
The Sacramento Kings allowed the second-most points per game in the league over the last few weeks, giving Walker about as easy an opponent as he could ask for. However, he only shot 40.8 percent from the floor, and I need to see more before I can trust him to take over in the absence of his talented teammates.
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Gobert had a profound impact on the defensive end and is back in contention to win the Defensive Player of the Year award. His 11.4 rebounds per game average is the second-lowest of his career since the start of the 2018-19 season, but it still puts him on solid ground entering Tuesday’s showdown with the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Purple and Gold have been solid on the boards nearly all year and ranked eighth in rebounds allowed per game over the last few weeks. Gobert only had six and seven rebounds in their previous matchups, and I like him to go under this line again.
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Kneuppel is having a tremendous rookie season and should probably win the NBA Rookie of the Year award. He also averaged 5.3 rebounds per game and had eight rebounds when these teams met on the final day of February, but I am still looking at him to go under this number.
The Portland Trail Blazers ranked ninth in rebounds allowed per game over their last 15 outings and have a clear identity centered around dominating the glass, led by Donovan Clingan and Deni Avdija. Kneuppel went under this line in three straight games and appears to have solid value here.
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