Tonight, Thursday, June 5th, 2025, the 2025 NBA Finals tip off with Game 1 between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder at the electric Paycom Center in OKC.
The Oklahoma City Thunder, the Western Conference's dominant No. 1 seed, enter these Finals on the back of an exceptional regular season and almost spotless playoff run. Led by the incomparable MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, their blend of strong defense and explosive offense has proven to be an unstoppable force.
Hailing from the East, the No. 4 seed Indiana Pacers have been the playoff's captivating Cinderella story. Their relentless, high-octane attack, orchestrated by the dynamic Tyrese Haliburton and bolstered by the savvy Pascal Siakam, has consistently defied expectations, showcasing their unwavering resilience and offensive firepower.
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The Pacers have the second-best record in all of basketball in 2025, yet they won nearly 10 percent fewer games and were only 33-30-1 (51.6 percent) against the spread, while the Thunder were 40-24-2 (60.6 percent).
That shouldn’t come as a surprise, given that OKC went 34-14-2 (70.8 percent) ATS at home across the regular season and playoffs, including 6-2 (75 percent) ATS in the postseason and 2-0 ATS in head-to-head matchups with the Pacers, which included wins of six and 21 points.
To add to that, the Thunder outscored their opponents by more than 14 points per 100 possessions at home during the regular season and by more than 24 at home in the playoffs. Their intense, physical defense will be something the Pacers haven’t yet faced in the run to the NBA Finals, and they’ll willingly accept the opportunity to match Indy’s tempo.
The Pacers have been the comeback kids and dominated clutch time in the playoffs, but it will be hard for them to be in a position to mount a comeback at all. Be on the lookout for a lopsided Game 1 result.
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