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NBA Playoffs Player Props and Best Bets for May 11: SGA Aims to Bounce Back and Tie the Series

Published: May. 11, 2025, 11:51 AM ET
7 min read

There are two games on the NBA’s Sunday playoff schedule. The Oklahoma City Thunder will try to level the series against the Denver Nuggets. In the East, the Cleveland Cavaliers will try and bring the series to 2-2 against the upstart Indiana Pacers. At Fanduel, you can place a $5 bet and win $200 in Bonus Bets if your wager wins! At WSN, we’re locked in on the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!

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Tonight’s NBA Playoffs player props spotlight a mix of rising talent and key contributors across the postseason. Look for Aaron Gordon to continue stretching the floor with his outside shot, making his three-point total one to watch. Aaron Wiggins has shown scoring potential in limited minutes, making his point line intriguing. On the glass, Evan Mobley’s rebounding presence remains a steady anchor. At the same time, Bennedict Mathurin’s scoring ability gives him the potential to make an impact, even off the bench.

Let’s check out the bets!

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NBA Playoffs Player Props and Best Bets for May 11: SGA Aims to Bounce Back and Tie the Series

Best NBA Player Props: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets (3:30 PM EST) on ABC

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 (-106) -245 Over 227.5 (-110)
Denver Nuggets +6.5 (-114) +200 Under 227.5 (-110)

Aaron Gordon Made Threes Over 1.5 (+114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Aaron Gordon has starred for the Denver Nuggets through their second-round series against the Oklahoma City Thunder. After another game-deciding three-pointer in Game 3, Gordon aims to lead his Nuggets to a commanding 3-1 lead.

Through ten games this playoffs, Aaron Gordon is averaging 18.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 1.6 threes per game on 49.6% from the field and 41.0% from three-point range. Gordon returned to form in Game 3, putting up 22 points, eight rebounds, five assists, and four made threes on 63.6% shooting.

Gordon has been locked on from deep this postseason, hitting over 1.5 threes in four appearances on 41.0% efficiency. He’s already hit nine threes against the Thunder this series, so expect him to continue to capitalize on opportunities from deep.

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Aaron Wiggins Points Over 6.5 (+100) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The spotlight for the Oklahoma City Thunder tends to focus on star men Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams, but role player Aaron Wiggins has been productive in limited minutes. In a crucial Game 3, expect Wiggins to be utilized for his efficient three-point shooting.

In seven games this postseason, Aaron Wiggins is averaging 8.6 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 1.1 threes per game while playing just 13.9 minutes per contest. In his last game, a Game 3 loss, Wiggins put up seven points, two rebounds, and two assists on 3-of-5 shooting.

Wiggins is consistent, although not a high-usage contributor, scoring over 6.5 points in five games this postseason. The Thunder will maintain their high-octane offensive style, so expect Wiggins to continue his solid production in the points column.

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Best NBA Player Props: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers (8:00 PM EST) on TNT

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Cavaliers -5.0 (-114)  -205 Over 231.0 (-110)
Indiana Pacers +5.0 (-106) +172 Under 231.0 (-110)

Evan Mobley Rebounds Over 10.5 (+104) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After losing two straight games, newly minted Defensive Player of the Year Evan Mobley stepped up to help the Cavaliers earn their first win of the series. Game 4 tips off on Sunday evening, and Evan Mobley’s second straight double-double performance bodes well for his productivity when the game tips off.

In six games this postseason, Evan Mobley is averaging 17.2 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.8 threes, 1.3 steals, and 1.0 blocks per game on 58.8% from the field and 44.0% from three-point range. In Cleveland’s Game 3 win, Mobley put up 18 points, 13 rebounds, four assists, three steals, and three blocks on 46.2% shooting.

Mobley is an excellent rebounder, collecting over 10.5 rebounds in his last game. Given the up-and-down nature of the game, as the Cavaliers attempt to push the pace to keep up with Indiana, Mobley will continue to find success on the glass.

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Bennedict Mathurin Points Over 13.5 (+102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Conversations around the Indiana Pacers’ Game 3 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers have circled the struggles of Tyrese Haliburton. But a bright spot in the game was charismatic guard Bennedict Mathurin, who led his team off the bench.

In seven games this postseason, Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 13.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.3 threes per game on 47.5% from the field and 29.0% from three-point range. In Indiana’s Game 3 loss, Mathurin contributed 23 points with three made threes on 54.5% shooting.

Mathurin has scored over 13.5 points thrice this postseason but has done so in back-to-back games heading into Game 4. With an opportunity to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series and relieve star man Tyrese Haliburton, expect Mathurin to play a starring role in the offense again.

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Best Same Game Parlay: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers (8:00 PM EST) (+806)

  • Cleveland Cavaliers -5.0 (-114): The Cleveland Cavaliers showed they still have some fight in them with a dominant Game 3 win. Their defense can limit Indiana, so expect them to keep running Indiana off the line and finding their opportunities in the paint.

  • Donovan Mitchell to Score 30+ Points (-128): The NBA’s top-scoring performer this postseason, Donovan Mitchell is coming off another brilliant performance. Central to the Cavaliers’ game plan, don’t count on Mitchell to slow down on the scoring end anytime soon. 

  • Jarrett Allen to Record 8+ Rebounds (-520): Controlling the glass is Jarrett Allen’s main priority for the Cleveland Cavaliers. A stalwart shot blocker and rebounder, 8+ rebounds, should be an easy clear for Allen.

  • Tyrese Haliburton to Score 20+ Points (+142): Tyrese Haliburton is coming off a shocking performance in Game 3, but he’s always been ready to bounce back after a poor showing. Game 4 allows Indiana to take a commanding 3-1 lead, so expect Haliburton to get back on track on Sunday night.

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Christian Jope WSN Contributors

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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