Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Expect an Uptick in Scoring Between Dallas and Winnipeg

With both defenses struggling since the start of the playoffs, expect an uptick in scoring between Dallas and Winnipeg in game two of their series. Before their puck drops, we target a team total in the matchup between Toronto and Florida as the reigning Stanley Cup champions face off against a Maple Leafs back line who grades out poorly in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.

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Dallas Stars vs. Winnipeg Jets - Prop Bets (9:30 PM, EST)

Alternate Full Game Over 6.5 (+125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Winnipeg Jets regression on defense has been one of the bigger storylines since the start of the playoffs as Connor Hellebuyck has struggled to give them the individual production they need to remain competitive in their contests. In his eight starts, the reigning Vezina Trophy winner is averaging an astonishing 3.75 Goals Against per game. A sharp contrast from his regular season performance as he finished the year leading the league with an average of 2.01 and a Save Percentage of .925.

A stunning low level of play from Hellebuyck, especially when factoring in how good his back line has played as the Jets defense currently ranks second overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even though they have managed to play well, regression also looms large over the Presidents’ Trophy winners defense as the Stars versatility has had no issue with stretching out their coverage to help set up high quality Shots on Goal. In game one of their series, the Stars generated an Expected Goal of 3.19.

Fortunately for Winnipeg, their offense will have the opportunity to match the Stars scoring pace as they face off against a back line who ranks 17th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.09 Expected Goals Against per game. Their lack of coverage leaves their net exposed to high quality shot attempts which drastically increases the Jets chances of scoring. Place a full size wager on the over of 5.5 and escalator bet the full game total by sprinkling smaller wagers on the alternate totals.

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Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goalscorer (+175) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After being held scoreless in the first four games of the playoffs, Mikko Rantanen has caught fire as the Stars forward has scored eight goals in his last four outings. Since joining Dallas at the trade deadline, Rantanen has had no issue with sustaining his high level of play in his new home as the Stars forward averages 0.44 Expected Goals per game. With Winnipeg struggling to provide Hellebuyck the coverage he needs to round back into form, expect Rantanen to find the back of the net for the fifth game in a row.

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Florida Panthers Team Total Over 3.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After opening up as the betting favorite on the series moneyline, the script has flipped on the reigning Stanley Cup champions as the Florida Panthers are now 0-2 against Toronto in the conference semifinals. Even though their defense has struggled to wall off Toronto’s front line, their own offense has still played quite well as they currently lead the Maple Leafs in Expected Goals and are averaging 3.44 Expected Goals For in All Situations since the start of the playoffs.

Their offense will have a great opportunity to round back into form in game three as they face off against a Maple Leafs defense who has struggled mightily in coverage this season. As of writing, Toronto’s back line ranks 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Even with Anthony Stolarz giving them a high level of individual production in their net, the Maple Leafs goaltender will be under a heavy amount of pressure while consistently shifting across the crease in an attempt to wall off Florida’s spread out attack.

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Matthew Tkachuk Anytime Goalscorer (+165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It has been a quiet series for Matthew Tkachuk as the Panthers forward has failed to score a goal in his two games against Toronto. Even though he failed to score, Tkachuk has still excelled at pressuring the net as he finished game two with an Expected Goal of 0.59. Expect positive regression to swing towards his way, especially with the Maple Leafs struggling to defend their net as their low mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates.

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