Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back the Stars to Clear the Over on Their Team Total

Negative regression looms large over Lukas Dostal as the Anaheim Ducks goalie will be tasked with walling off the Dallas Stars high volume of Shots on Goal while playing behind a back line who struggles in coverage. At the same time as their puck drop, we target the Nashville Predators team total as their offense faces off against a back line who excels at staying in front of the puck.

Best NHL Prop Bets Today, November 6

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Anaheim Ducks vs. Dallas Stars - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Dallas Stars Team Total Over 3.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Dallas Stars front line have excelled at pressuring the net as the Stanley Cup contenders rank near the top of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.62 Expected Goals per game. Their top line has played a major role in their success as Jason Robertson, Wyatt Johnston, and Mikko Rantanen all average over 0.40 Expected Goals through the first 13 games of the season.

With the Stars offense generating high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate, negative regression looms large over Lukas Dostal as the Anaheim Ducks goalie will be under a relentless amount of pressure. Especially with his back line struggling in coverage as the Ducks defense ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Stars team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.

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Jason Robertson Anytime Goal Scorer (+135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

As previously mentioned, Jason Robertson has played a key role in the Stars success on offense this season as he is currently averaging 0.66 Expected Goals and 4.31 Shots on Goal per game. With his linemates stretching out the Ducks back line with their playmaking, Robertson will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.

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Philadelphia Flyers vs. Nashville Predators - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

Nashville Predators Team Total Under 3 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After re-tooling their offense in the offseason, the Nashville Predators have severely underperformed as their front line currently ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility lessens the quality of their shooting lanes in front of the net as only five players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals while Filip Forsberg is the only Predator who averages more than three Shots on Goal per game.

In Thursday night’s matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers, expect the Predators struggles on offense to continue to persist as they face off against a defense who ranks top-3 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Dan Vlader playing at a very high level as the Flyers goalie averages just 2.33 Goals Against per game and a .912 Save Percentage. Should the Predators team total drop down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Minnesota Wild vs. Carolina Hurricanes - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

Seth Jarvis Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-150) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After fielding one of the best back lines in the league last year, the Minnesota Wild have harshly regressed as their defense is averaging over 3.5 Expected Goals Against per game this season. With the Wild struggling to stay in front of the puck, Seth Jarvis will be able to continue to pressure the net at a high rate as the Carolina Hurricanes center averages 0.74 Expected Goals and 3.67 Shots on Goal per game. To increase your risk, place a wager on Jarvis to score a goal as well.

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