Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back the Senators to Neutralize the Rangers Front Line

With Ottawa’s back line excelling in coverage, positive regression looms large over Linus Ullmark as the Senators goalie faces off against the New York Rangers who struggle to create high quality Shots on Goal. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Vegas Golden Knights as their defense battles it out against the Los Angeles Kings who lack the aggression that is needed to pressure their net.

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Ottawa Senators vs. New York Rangers - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

New York Rangers Team Total Under 3 (-185) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After playing at a very high level on offense last year, the New York Rangers front line have harshly regressed as they currently rank near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility has played a major role in their struggles this season as only Mika Zibanejad and J.T. Miller average more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game.

Unfortunately for the Rangers, their struggles on offense will be on full display on Wednesday as they face off against the Ottawa Senators who rank second in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 2.69 Expected Goals Against per game. Even with Linus Ullmark struggling to limit the amount of variance in their contests with his protection, the Senators suffocating coverage will help drastically lessen the quality of the Rangers shot attempts which increases his chances of walling them off.

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Tim Stutzle Anytime Goal Scorer (+195) at BetMGM Sportsbook

On the other side of the ice, the Rangers back line have been nearly just as abysmal as their defense ranks 26th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Rangers struggling to defend their net, Tim Stutzle will be able to continue to create high quality Shots on Goal in front of the crease as the Rangers center is averaging 0.36 Expected Goals per game.

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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Los Angeles Kings - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

Los Angeles Kings Team Total Under 3 (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights have arguably been one of the more formidable defenses in the league as the Stanley Cup contenders rank in the top three in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots. Their production on the back line has helped Akira Schmid play at a very high level as the Golden Knights back up goalie is averaging just 2.49 Goals Against per game while Adin Hill is out with an injury.

In a favorable matchup against the Los Angeles Kings, expect the Golden Knights back line to build on their momentum as they face off against an offense who ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Especially with the Kings lacking the aggression that is needed to scramble Schmid in their net as no one on their roster averages more than three Shots on Goal per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Kings team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders.

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Philadelphia Flyers vs. Buffalo Sabres - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

Trevor Zegras Anytime Goal Scorer (+225) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though Trevor Zegras is generating just 2.16 Shots on Goal per game, the Philadelphia Flyers newly acquired forward has been able to maximize on the efficiency of his shot attempts as he is also averaging 0.28 Expected Goals. With the Buffalo Sabres back line ranking in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, Zegras will be able to rifle off Shots on Goal at a higher rate which increases his chances of scoring.

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