With Nathan MacKinnon pressuring the net at a very high rate, expect the former Hart Memorial Trophy winner to score on Monday as he faces off against the Washington Capitals who severely underwhelm in coverage. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Minnesota Wild as their back line has the opportunity to hold the Toronto Maple Leafs off the scoreboard by neutralizing an offense who struggles to generate high quality Shots on Goal.
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Since the start of the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche have seen their odds to win the Stanley Cup skyrocket as they are currently 33-5-8 and possess a 10 point lead for first in the Presidents’ Trophy standings. Their offense has played a major role in their success this year as the Avs front line leads the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.73 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Monday, expect the Avs offense to continue to thrive as they face off against the Washington Capitals who struggle to defend their net as their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates. Even with Logan Thompson getting the start, the Avs versatility will have the Capitals goalie constantly scrambling which will open up shooting lanes beside him. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Avs team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.
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At the halfway point of the season, Nathan MacKinnon has built a strong case for winning the Hart Memorial Trophy as the Avs center currently leads the league in Goals Scored while averaging 0.50 Expected Goals per game. With the Capitals back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect MacKinnon to continue to create high quality Shots on Goal and score his 37th goal of the season.
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It has been a rough start to the year for the Toronto Maple Leafs front line as their offense heads into Monday night ranked below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of aggression makes it hard for their front line to create space as only Auston Matthews averages more than 3.00 Shots on Goal per game.
Unfortunately for the Maple Leafs, their struggles on offense are poised to persist against Minnesota as they face off against a Wild defense who resides near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Filip Gustavsson rounding back into Vezina Trophy contending form as the Wild goalie is averaging just 2.55 Goals Against per game and a .910 Save Percentage. If the Maple Leafs team total drops down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Even with the Florida Panthers front line dealing with injuries, Sam Reinhart has still been able to pressure the net at a high rate as he is currently averaging 0.47 Expected Goals and 2.70 Shots on Goal per game. With the San Jose Sharks ranking in the bottom ten in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Reinhart will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in front of the crease which increases his chances of scoring.
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