With the San Jose Sharks underwhelming in coverage, the Tampa Bay Lightning front line are in a position to thrive as they excel at creating high quality scoring opportunities in front of the crease. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Kings as Darcy Kuemper has the opportunity to keep a clean sheet in a favorable matchup against the New York Rangers who struggle to pressure the net.
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Arguably no one in the league is hotter than the Tampa Bay Lightning as they are currently 9-0-1 in their last ten games and in third place in the Presidents’ Trophy standings. Their offense has played a major role in their success this year as the Lightning front line ranks in the top-3 in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.55 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the San Jose Sharks, expect the Lightning to light up the scoreboard as they face off against a back line who resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Yaroslav Askarov cooling off after a hot start to the year as the Sharks goalie is averaging 3.28 Expected Goals Against per game and a .891 Save Percentage. If the Lightning team total climbs up to a flat four, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Since the start of the regular season, Nikita Kucherov has been able to create high quality scoring opportunities at a consistent rate as the Lightning forward is averaging 0.51 Expected Goals and 2.95 Shots on Goal per game. With his linemates stretching out the Sharks back line, expect Kuckerov to take advantage of the shooting lanes their versatility provides and generate a high volume of Shots on Goal in front of the net.
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It has been an abysmal year for the New York Rangers as they are currently nine points back from the Buffalo Sabres in the wildcard standings for the last spot in the playoffs. Their lack of production on offense brings in a high amount of variance into their contests as the Rangers rank near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations while only four players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Tuesday, the Rangers struggles on offense will be on full display as they face off against the Los Angeles Kings who excel in coverage as their top-2 mark in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots indicates. With their back line smothering the Rangers shot attempts, expect Darcy Kuemper to wall them off as the Kings goalie is averaging just 2.48 Goals Against per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Rangers team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders
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After re-tooling their front line in the offseason, Wyatt Johnston has been able to capitalize on his heavier workload as the Dallas Stars forward is averaging 0.42 Expected Goals per game. With the Boston Bruins ranking 29th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, the Stars aggression will have Jeremy Swayman constantly scrambling between the pipes which increases Johnston’s chances of finding the back of the net.
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