With the Vancouver Canucks ranking dead last in most defensive metrics, the Dallas Stars will be able to light up the scoreboard as their front line generates Shots on Goal at a high rate. Before their puck drop takes place, the Toronto Maple Leafs struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against the Philadelphia Flyers who excel in coverage.
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With Dallas six points back from Colorado, the Stars must take advantage of their favorable matchup against the Vancouver Canucks should they want to remain in contention for the Presidents’ Trophy.
After going 9-1-0 in their last ten games, the Dallas Stars have been able to chip away at Colorado’s lead for first in the overall standings. Their high level of play on offense has played a major role in their success as their front line currently ranks in the top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
In a favorable matchup against the Vancouver Canucks, the Stars offense will be able to thrive as they face off against a back line who ranks dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Thatcher Demko failing to mask their struggles in coverage as the Canucks goalie is averaging a Save Percentage of .897. If the Stars team total climbs up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Do not let Jason Robertson getting snubbed from team USA fool you, the Stars forward has been one of the more productive players in the league as he is averaging nearly 0.50 Expected Goals per game. With the Canucks struggling to stay in front of the puck, Robertson will have more room to work with when he blitzes through their back line, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs struggles on offense will be on full display on Monday night as they face off against the Philadelphia Flyers who will smother their shot attempts for the full duration of the contest.
Since the start of the regular season, the Toronto Maple Leafs offense have been abysmal, fielding a front line who ranks below league average in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility makes it easier for opposing back lines to shade their coverage as just four players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Monday night, expect the Maple Leafs to struggle to pressure the net as they face off against the Philadelphia Flyers who reside near the top of the board in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots. To help increase your risk, escalator bet the Maple Leafs team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders at the best available odds.
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The Carolina Hurricanes have a great opportunity to build on their five game win streak as they face off against the Seattle Kraken who continue to regress on defense.
While his linemates pull defensive attention away from him, Seth Jarvis is able to pressure the net at a high rate as the Carolina Hurricanes forward is averaging 3.20 Shots on Goal per game. With the Seattle Kraken ranking in the bottom ten in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play, Jarvis will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.
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