After losing their last three games in a row, the Washington Capitals have a great opportunity to get back in the win column by consistently attacking a Calgary Flames back line who underwhelms in coverage. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Philadelphia Flyers as they face off against the New York Rangers who struggle to pressure the net.
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With their hopes of making the playoffs fading, the Washington Capitals must take advantage of their matchup against the Calgary Flames to avoid falling further behind the Boston Bruins in the Presidents’ Trophy standings.
With less than 25 games remaining in the regular season, the Washington Capitals are in desperate need of rounding back into form as they are currently six points back from Boston for the last wildcard spot in the playoffs. While their defense has struggled, their offense has been able to keep them afloat, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
Heading into Monday night, expect the Capitals front line to light up the scoreboard as they face off against the Calgary Flames who underwhelm in coverage per their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Dustin Wolf in net as the Flames goalie is averaging 3.00 Goals Against per game and a .898 Save Percentage.
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Even in the twilight years of his career, Alexander Ovechkin has been able to play at a high level, averaging 0.41 Expected Goals and 2.84 Shots on Goal per game. With the Flames back line struggling to defend their net while Tom Wilson pulls defensive attention away from him, the width of Ovechkin’s shooting lanes will widen which will improve the quality of his shot attempts in front of the crease.
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With the New York Rangers grading out poorly in most offensive metrics, Philadelphia’s Dan Vlader will be able to keep a clean sheet by consistently walling off their low quality Shots on Goal.
Since the start of the regular season, the New York Rangers have been abysmal on offense, residing near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. Their lack of versatility has played a major role in their struggles as only five players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Unfortunately for the Rangers, their struggles on offense will be on full display on Monday night as they face off against the Philadelphia Flyers who excel in coverage as their top-5 mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Rangers team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders at the best available odds.
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After going 3-6-1 in their last ten games, positive regression looms large over the Los Angeles Kings as they face off against the Columbus Blue Jackets who struggle to stay in front of the puck.
Even when receiving minimal support from his linemates, Adrian Kempe has still been able to pressure the net at a high rate, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals per game. With the Columbus Blue Jackets ranking 26th in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Kempe will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.
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