Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Expect the Senators to Build on Their Momentum

With the Montreal Canadiens back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, the red hot Ottawa Senators will be able to build on their momentum by consistently attacking their net. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the Washington Capitals as negative regression looms large over their offense when they face off against the Philadelphia Flyers who rank near the top of the board in most defensive metrics.

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Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

After winning their last three games in a row, the Ottawa Senators have a great opportunity to continue their hot stretch of play by taking advantage of a Montreal Canadiens defense who struggles in coverage.

Ottawa Senators Team Total Over 3.5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 7-1-2 in their last ten games, the Ottawa Senators odds of making the playoffs have steadily grown as they are now just three points back from the Boston Bruins for the last wildcard spot in the Presidents’ Trophy standings. Their resurgence on offense has helped spark their turnaround, fielding a front line who ranks above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.17 Expected Goals per game.

In a favorable matchup against the Montreal Canadiens, the Senators front line will be able to light up the scoreboard as they face off against a defense who resides in the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Sam Montembeault expected to get the start in net for Montreal as the Canadiens backup goalie is averaging 3.43 Goals Against per game and a .872 Save Percentage.

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Brady Tkachuk Anytime Goal Scorer (+165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even when his linemates were struggling to play at a competitive level, Brady Tkachuk has been able to generate high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate, averaging 0.48 Expected Goals per game. With the Canadiens back line failing to defend their net, Tkachuk will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts in front of the crease, increasing his chances of finding the back of the net.

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Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers - Prop Bets (7:30 PM, EST)

With the Philadelphia Flyers seven points back from Boston, they must take advantage of their matchup against the Washington Capitals if they want to keep their hopes of making the playoffs alive.

Washington Capitals Team Total Under 3.5 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Washington Capitals front line have been able to thrive, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. A stunning performance when factoring in their lack of versatility as just four players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals while only Jakob Chychurn generates more than 3.00 Shots on Goal per game.

Unfortunately for the Capitals, their front line will fall hard back down to reality on Wednesday night as they face off against the Philadelphia Flyers who excel in coverage as their top-6 mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations indicates. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Capitals team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders.

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Trevor Zegras Anytime Goal Scorer (+230) at BetMGM Sportsbook

In his first year with Philadelphia, Trevor Zegras has been able to pressure the net at a high rate, averaging 0.27 Expected Goals per game. With the Capitals defense ranking below league average in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, the width of Zegras’ shooting lanes in front of the crease will widen, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal when he blitzes through their back line.

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