Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Predictions: It’s Jason’s Day Again

• Three rounds are played at the South Course and one at the North

• Local man Xander Schauffele is the betting favorite

• Harris English returns to defend the title

Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Odds

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Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Predictions

• Jason Day each-way (1/5 1-2-3-4-5-6) at +2800 with BetMGM

• Wyndham Clark and Max Homa both to make the cut at +125 with bet365

• Jake Knapp for Top 10 at +500 with BetMGM

Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Intro

This year’s Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines has extra intrigue with Brooks Koepka making his comeback to the PGA TOUR from LIV as part of the Returning Member Program.

That’s big news, so much so that ESPN will offer live coverage of a regular PGA TOUR event for the first time in 20 years when its broadcast begins at noon on Thursday. 

Koepka, a former World No.1 and five-time major winner, has a rather patchy record at Torrey Pines.

He did finish fourth there when it staged the 2021 US Open but his results in this event show three missed cuts and a 41st in four starts between 2015 and 2022.

That explains his seemingly generous odds of 66/1 with bet365. Tempted?

The South Course, as usual, stages 54 of the 72 holes, including both weekend rounds. It’s a beast at over 7,700 yards.

Players get one lap of the easier North over the first two days and, historically, it plays around 2.5 shots easier than the South.

Last year, the tournament was won in single digits under par for the first time since 2016.

The winning score in the previous five was 13-under to 15-under inclusive.

Last 5 Winners of the Farmers Insurance Open

Course Notes

• The South Course is a par 72 that measures 7,765 yards

• The North Course is a par 72 that measures 7,258 yards

• Both courses have Poa Annua greens

• George Burns (1987) and Tiger Woods (1999) hole the 72-hole record of 266

• Unlike last year, winds are set to be fairly calm

Favorites to win the Farmers Insurance Open 2026

Xander Schauffele (+1400) at bet365

The local man missed the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open due to injury. But after a strangely poor record here in his early years on Tour, Schauffele has posted a second (2021), a ninth (2024) and a 13th (2023) in three of the previous four editions. He also finished seventh at Torrey Pines when the South Course staged the 2021 US Open. Schauffele will hope to start 2026 the way he ended 2025 - with a win (Baycurrent Classic).

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Ludvig Aberg (+1800) at bet365

Aberg was ninth on debut in 2024 and then a popular pick in 2025 when his hopes were derailed as he fell sick mid-tournament and finished 42nd. Those who kept the belief that the Swede was a great fit for Torrey Pines were rewarded a few weeks later when the course staged the Genesis Invitational due to the fires in LA making Riviera unsafe. Aberg showed his class and closed with a 66 to win by a shot on 12-under. Last week, the World No. 19 withdrew from The American Express (68-67 first two days), again due to illness. Will history repeat and he shakes it off to win here?

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Cameron Young (+2200) at bet365

After a series of big finishes in the majors, Young finally got his first PGA TOUR title when lapping the field to win by six at the Wyndham Championship last August. He hasn’t looked back since and finished as the USA’s joint-top points scorer on his Ryder Cup debut at Bethpage. This is his first start of 2026 although he did play for New York in the TGL a couple of weeks ago. Perhaps there’s a question mark over course form which shows MC-20-MC-MC.

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Day Can Triple Up

While Tiger Woods’ seven victories in this event put him way ahead of everyone else, Jason Day is one of the event’s two-time winners.

The Aussie lifted the silverware at Torrey Pines in both 2015 and 2018 while he’s also posted second, third, fifth, seventh and ninth.

As well as being a course horse, Day made a superb start to 2026 with second place behind Scottie Scheffler in last week’s American Express.

The remarkable thing about that performance is that on the hardest track of the three used at La Quinta, the Stadium Course, Day outshot Scheffler by seven shots across the two rounds they played there.

Day ranked 1st for both Strokes Gained Putting and SG: Around The Green last week so the planets look aligned.

Back the former World No.1 each-way at odds of +2800 (1/5 1-2-3-4-5-6) with BetMGM.

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Clark And Homa To Make Cut

We’re 2-for-2 in 72 hole match bets this season and landed last week’s when backing Daniel Berger to beat Akshay Bhatia (missed cut) in a -110 pick ‘em at The American Express.

With two courses being used this week, firms have delayed pricing up match markets so let’s turn to another option and check out the odds on ‘to make the cut’.

The duo to bet are Wyndham Clark and Max Homa and it’s +125 at bet365 that both get through to the weekend.

Clark is 4-for-5 at the Farmers and posted 13th last week while Homa is a former Torrey Pines winner (2023), who hasn’t missed a cut since August.

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Knapp For Top 10

This is a home game for Californian Jake Knapp and he says it’s one of his favorite events of the year.

He backed that up with third place in 2024 while he was 17th when Torrey Pines South staged the Genesis Invitational last year. 

Knapp was quick out of the blocks at the Sony Open two weeks ago when finishing 11th so the 2024 Mexico Open winner looks good value to make the top 10 this week at +500 with BetMGM.

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How to Watch the Farmers Insurance Open 2026

• Tournament: Farmers Insurance Open

• Location: San Diego, CA 

• Date: Thursday January 29 - Sunday February 1

• How to watch: Thursday-Friday Noon-3 p.m. ET (ESPN, Hulu, Disney+), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (CBS, Paramount+), Sunday 1 p.m.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (CBS, Paramount+) And all four days on Sky Sports