Shedeur Sanders went over this passing line three times in four starts
The Bills are 31st in yards allowed per carry (5.1)
These two teams allowed the fewest passing yards per game (169 and 169.5)
The Buffalo Bills are back, if last week was any indication, and they can take another step toward their fifth straight AFC East title if they can take down the Cleveland Browns.
Josh Allen surged back to third in MVP odds and not far behind Drake Maye after he helped the Bills recover from a 21-point deficit to beat the first-place New England Patriots, 35-31. The Bills are only 4-3 on the road, and this weekend won’t be an easy game for them.
What the Browns have long lacked in offensive talent, they more than make up for with their defensive abilities. Their 3-11 record on the year doesn’t change the fact they are all the way up in fourth in EPA allowed per play.
Here, I will break down the best same-game parlay picks, including player props, for the Bills vs. Browns AFC showdown on Sunday.
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| Best Bills vs. Browns SGP Picks | Odds | Claim $150 in Bonus Bets at bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen Under 207.5 Passing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Quinshon Judkins Longest Rush Over 12.5 Yards | -12.5 | CLAIM HERE |
| James Cook Anytime Touchdown Scorer | -130 | CLAIM HERE |
| Shedeur Sanders Under 179.5 Passing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
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The Browns’ defense isn’t just good—it’s really good. They allowed a league-best 169 passing yards per game, and defensive end Myles Garrett is one sack away from tying the all-time single-season record at 22.5, still with three games to go.
Allen is capable of putting on the cape and rescuing his team, but he went under this line in two of his last three games and only had 193 yards last week. The Browns’ ineffective offense also won’t put much pressure on the Bills to throw the football, leading to Allen going under this line.
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Judkins has certainly had his moments as a rookie, and there’s still a chance he eclipses the 1,000-yard barrier (currently at 805). He’s been pretty erratic when it comes to beating this line, going for longest rushes of four, 14, 17, 11, 16, 11, six, and 46 yards dating back to two months ago.
The Bills might be in the hunt for a Super Bowl appearance, but there’s no hiding their abysmal running defense. They rank 31st in yards allowed per carry (5.4) and gave up chunk plays of 65 and 52 yards to TreVeyon Henderson just last week.
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It’s rarely a bad time to bet on Cook to find the end zone. He logged 18 total touchdowns last year and has 12 in 14 games this time around, scoring in eight of his appearances. He also scored three times last week while also rushing for 107 yards on 22 carries.
Cook is a bit of an inevitability, running for 5.2 yards per carry, sixth among qualified running backs. The Browns held their opponents to 3.9 yards per carry (sixth), but I expect the Bills to look to control the clock and run the air out of the football, especially close to the goal line.
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While the Browns might allow the fewest passing yards per game, the Bills are just behind them at 169.5. That’s a tough matchup for Sanders, who was 18/35 for 177 yards and three interceptions against the Chicago Bears last weekend.
Sanders is 3-1 on the over/under on this line in four career starts, although two of those overs came against the Las Vegas Raiders and the Tennessee Titans. He only completed 52.2 percent of his passes, and I don’t see the Browns having the talent outside of the numbers to help elevate Sanders, nor do I see him single-handedly outdoing one of the strongest pass defenses in football.
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